Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c7857374fd4a59d50e9903b82656fbc878409fe60f7d0a51f8691a41afa39c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 57,937$32,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,583.97 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 33c | 16,364$5,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,379.2 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 16,279$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.37 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 79c | 12,373$9,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,775.48 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 21c | 9,042$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,140.23 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 22c | 7,808$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,077.14 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 7,585$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,075.2 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed Yes | 79c | 5,063$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 46c | 5,022$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.92 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Yes | 11c | 4,950$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.53 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 39c | 4,500$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 36c | 4,286$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.86 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 68c | 4,062$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…4d2abacked No | 23c | 3,986$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 3,828$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.41 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 77c | 3,756$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.27 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 21c | 3,748$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960.97 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 60c | 3,646$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.44 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 22c | 3,615$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 22c | 3,540$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.79 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 58c | 3,397$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.45 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 25c | 3,393$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.25 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Yes | 23c | 3,200$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,049$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Yes | 49c | 3,001$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 2,894$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.37 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 80c | 2,513$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes | 23c | 2,500$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 21c | 2,398$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.5 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 22c | 2,064$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 78c | 2,019$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.26 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…a10bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,986$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 50c | 1,720$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.6 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Yes | 48c | 1,666$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.68 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Yes | 22c | 1,500$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…ac13backed Yes | 72c | 1,459$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 38c | 1,371$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 21c | 1,308$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.49 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…169bbacked Yes | 79c | 1,264$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.89 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 42c | 1,245$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.28 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 21c | 1,233$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.82 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 56c | 1,200$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.98 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,186$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.47 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce11…4a49backed Yes | 78c | 1,162$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Yes | 79c | 1,097$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.88 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 49c | 1,061$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 78c | 1,061$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.59 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 20c | 1,037$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Yes | 24c | 1,033$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.91 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,020$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.08 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 75c | 1,010$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.85 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 79c | 1,007$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.51 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 78c | 999.97$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.98 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…59febacked No | 21c | 999.97$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 22c | 999.9$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.92 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes | 54c | 866.28$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 77c | 860.39$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.85 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…82bcbacked Yes | 30c | 846.65$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 23c | 830$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.9 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…4bf0backed Yes | 63c | 793.43$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa637…bacfbacked Yes | 78c | 751.86$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 9c | 718.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 78c | 705.13$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 45c | 624.51$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.84 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…c3dbbacked Yes | 69c | 612.92$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 22c | 568.04$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.07 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 28c | 563.57$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d68…fe74backed Yes | 45c | 553.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaed8…3eeebacked Yes | 48c | 553.46$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 47c | 533.85$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.91 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed Yes | 38c | 524.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…dbaebacked Yes | 78c | 522.19$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Yes | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…6c81backed Yes | 79c | 505.06$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 50c | 502.04$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…5779backed Yes | 23c | 500$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 55c | 474$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.23 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…a07fbacked Yes | 25c | 473.7$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed Yes | 25c | 460$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…7e1bbacked Yes | 39c | 450$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7a…b4ffbacked Yes | 78c | 448.72$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…a631backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…399bbacked Yes | 55c | 420$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 60c | 416.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf293…e87abacked Yes | 46c | 412.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 46c | 406.91$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 69c | 400$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Yes | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…bc59backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Yes | 79c | 400$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.95 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?this page
- Will Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?No won
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-02-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.