TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,782
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,782 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No67c6,733$4,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.892,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes29c5,600$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6302842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes32c5,011$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.6213426.1%35 W · 99 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c4,530$3,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.595,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c3,449$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.557,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Yes37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes26c1,640$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.458229.2%170 W · 412 L-19.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes31c1,132$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.322542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ae…f407backed Yes27c998$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.673212.5%4 W · 28 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bc6…ac13backed Yes37c810.95$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4549…0450backed Yes3c674$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-61%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes28c595.36$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1665431.5%17 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes17c500.09$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.029061.1%55 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes31c405.98$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1934158.9%201 W · 140 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe02…80f9backed Yes3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked Yes33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.81450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No75c385.83$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7694043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No68c363.37$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7314262.7%89 W · 53 L+15.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x473d…caabbacked Yes30c332.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+90%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfdb…0ababacked Yes15c313.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+68.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes26c281.11$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0914949%73 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No73c261.07$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4983440.8%340 W · 494 L-35.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes15c260.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.52,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5528…c098backed Yes16c243.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No70c218.01$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.412630.2%38 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes30c208.34$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4586960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe1df…677fbacked Yes16c206.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes28c204.9$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1451140.9%209 W · 302 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes16c204.07$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.651,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes11c202$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2210236.3%37 W · 65 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes26c200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.112440.3%50 W · 74 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147244.4%32 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes11c199.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9893845.4%426 W · 512 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2352…4c5abacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cea…5013backed Yes9c181.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+47.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes14c181.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254141.5%17 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes27c163.32$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.741145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes33c151.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9357019.8%113 W · 457 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3747…41bebacked Yes35c146.29$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b43…df40backed Yes26c146.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3850%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed No69c145.38$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.472650%13 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes31c125$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6524242.1%102 W · 140 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes19c121.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9647926.9%129 W · 350 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6a9…bc59backed Yes38c120$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.630%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No70c113.12$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.991,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No77c112.47$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3264143.4%278 W · 363 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes36c110.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.412152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa3ac…e753backed Yes31c106.84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258851.1%45 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeeff…5779backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163330.3%10 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes27c96.23$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.513658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes25c94.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5622727.8%63 W · 164 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae47…eba4backed Yes35c88.57$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cb…2087backed Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c5a…b946backed Yes27c80.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0501…61ecbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb856…a9bcbacked Yes38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes31c63.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-53.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Yes17c62.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.46540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick15cpaid+605.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3798…2e72backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes20c60.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3677350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe03d…4dfbbacked Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-56.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No77c48.75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.071,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…540bbacked Yes25c47.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1240%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17eb…82bcbacked Yes25c43.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.941258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked No75c40.79$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.23145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6437…474abacked Yes25c40.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Yes31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.42568%17 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc17e…b39abacked Yes28c38.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113250%16 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x230d…192abacked Yes29c38.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No78c38.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2159855.5%332 W · 266 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d71…1ee3backed Yes31c37.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb163…4129backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick34cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.417836.5%65 W · 113 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd81…de69backed No79c25.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.42450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.610252%53 W · 49 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.298552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed No73c17.91$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc448…d166backed No79c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.36650%3 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.