TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Open Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Martin Damm

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mannarinoof Mannarino, Damm
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,937
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$266,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,937 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Damm59c26,540$15,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,683.6511633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed Mannarino40c20,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0003046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Mannarino42c19,283$8,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,246.986552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Damm28c16,286$4,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,510.3280938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mannarino24c15,934$3,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,105.548,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa824…c9fcbacked Damm60c10,683$6,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,437.811442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Damm42c9,006$3,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,804.22,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mannarino63c7,329$4,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,732.622,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Mannarino21c6,277$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,958.5311560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Mannarino43c6,032$2,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,463.525428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Damm73c3,722$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70013260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7750…a3f3backed Mannarino15c2,919$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.7511215.2%17 W · 95 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Mannarino40c2,437$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.855228.8%15 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Mannarino45c2,087$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.1945036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Mannarino40c1,810$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.4993055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Mannarino17c1,765$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.7159165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Damm60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00044754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ba…bbb6backed Damm60c1,664$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mannarino72c1,479$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.717,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff72…512bbacked Mannarino26c1,292$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.56833.8%23 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Mannarino39c1,227$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.7511242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Damm60c1,167$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Mannarino53c1,150$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.2869249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Mannarino19c1,124$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.2963247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Mannarino43c1,120$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.7654547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Mannarino24c1,118$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.9355646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Mannarino47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.4744163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Damm59c1,050$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61819846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Damm59c1,020$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.789242.4%39 W · 53 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Damm56c1,003$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.741,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mannarino63c1,000$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.56,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Damm60c970$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58045457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Damm59c857$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.6346553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Damm59c850.29$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.678040%32 W · 48 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Damm59c830.21$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.613560.7%82 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Damm73c821.11$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60038652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Mannarino27c700$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50932050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Damm50c675.28$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.422,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Damm44c620.37$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.356,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Damm79c570$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.3658753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Mannarino27c549.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.921,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Damm60c503.02$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Mannarino12c500$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44012722%28 W · 99 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Mannarino60c498.13$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1326158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Damm57c469.72$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.119643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Damm59c451.34$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.294748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Mannarino41c429.27$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.2798240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Damm35c354$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3773745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Damm20c336.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4427543.3%119 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Mannarino40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18046649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Damm59c271.19$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16013826.1%36 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Mannarino27c268.4$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.488446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Damm57c263$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9110440.4%42 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca4…e4e7backed Damm21c260.38$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548350.6%42 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3302…5397backed Damm59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504158.5%24 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Mannarino42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.170729.1%206 W · 501 L+0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Mannarino42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.13050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ed…e8edbacked Mannarino42c225$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Damm59c223.09$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13284736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Mannarino32c221.35$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.352,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6fa…600fbacked Damm58c220$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c2c…d14bbacked Damm43c220$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-54%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Damm80c219$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17549143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Damm22c216.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7410756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee1d…5002backed Mannarino42c216$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa80…82bebacked Damm58c216$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d97…76d9backed Damm58c215$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Mannarino41c211$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.491,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaad0…9dbfbacked Mannarino42c211$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81c…385bbacked Damm58c210$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc995…6709backed Mannarino42c210$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x254b…7051backed Damm58c209$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3032…5619backed Mannarino42c208$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc041…f398backed Mannarino42c208$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed67…5df4backed Damm58c208$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a5a…36b4backed Damm59c204.39$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked Damm59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181050%5 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Mannarino51c188.32$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.082,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Damm42c178.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7554348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Damm57c175.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb740…2ec1backed Damm58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035157%200 W · 151 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Damm29c171.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.441,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Mannarino46c169.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.831153.1%165 W · 146 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Mannarino15c166.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6730741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Damm15c165$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0665647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Mannarino43c162.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.791,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Mannarino37c151.32$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.64,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc067…e97cbacked Damm59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.56953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Mannarino40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9028747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceef…9994backed Damm38c139.96$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9869…e817backed Mannarino15c126.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.52365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Mannarino40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7525237.3%94 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cd6…6d83backed Mannarino42c122.46$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.461258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Damm75c117.77$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9258067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Mannarino43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2819466%128 W · 66 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mannarino46c109.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Damm59c108.12$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7918957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe12…93aebacked Damm15c106.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164341.9%18 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x935b…a5cebacked Damm64c102.49$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Mannarino13c100$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.