CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf679e4d7dbd63ab6f5806b5b12711102442ee092b78eacb33a3bb16f8d86d11d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof FURIA, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $309,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked FURIA | 64c | 39,084$25,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,160.57 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 35,499$13,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,411.13 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed FURIA | 62c | 32,753$20,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,257.74 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked FURIA | 61c | 14,826$9,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,043.69 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 13,458$5,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,349.31 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed FURIA | 60c | 11,652$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 10,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,249.98 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 9,817$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,050.97 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 9,468$4,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,410.73 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 9,388$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,932.93 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 8,801$3,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,458.57 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 5,836$4,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.75 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 5,750$3,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.27 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked FURIA | 63c | 5,561$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked FURIA | 63c | 5,556$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 4,308$3,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.51 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA | 23c | 4,005$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.65 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84e…6cbebacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…126fbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 3,848$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.65 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,037$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.45 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,807$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.14 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 2,478$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.52 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked FURIA | 32c | 2,148$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.31 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 2,118$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.75 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,850$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.98 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked FURIA | 46c | 1,773$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.7 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0981…913ebacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,696$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.13 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,448$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.14 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,360$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.13 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,356$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.61 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,349$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.42 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…5104backed FURIA | 44c | 1,292$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.01 | 67 | 14.9%10 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked FURIA | 50c | 1,007$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x229b…f908backed FURIA | 52c | 962.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 924.61$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.76 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed FURIA | 58c | 900$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 859.43$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.77 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 852.23$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.23 | 119 | 28.6%34 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 850.24$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.05 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked FURIA | 15c | 808$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 805.43$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.75 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe238…e5e5backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b86…c943backed FURIA | 47c | 750$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed FURIA | 55c | 705.94$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.98 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed FURIA | 63c | 520.76$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.53 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…575fbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked FURIA | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 500$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA | 60c | 474$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.56 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…3a8cbacked FURIA | 37c | 464.86$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed FURIA | 61c | 443$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.29 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…05c7backed FURIA | 46c | 434.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 423.37$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.12 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 419.95$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.17 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 417.89$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.57 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…1362backed FURIA | 48c | 397.92$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked FURIA | 67c | 383.85$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.18 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed FURIA | 36c | 383.21$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.02 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f0…a122backed FURIA | 60c | 364.75$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…e726backed FURIA | 69c | 352.91$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.51 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…2af9backed FURIA | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 349$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.54 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 325.96$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.42 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde5d…e2d7backed FURIA | 61c | 324.59$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…7626backed FURIA | 63c | 318.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 305.67$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…1c41backed FURIA | 33c | 303.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 300$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed FURIA | 47c | 296.04$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked FURIA | 46c | 293.91$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…8e0dbacked FURIA | 30c | 284.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb4…0872backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 280$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 276.09$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.49 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 274.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.89 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…fcf3backed FURIA | 62c | 241.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked FURIA | 48c | 230.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…7e59backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 226.06$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x173d…8091backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 225.23$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.65 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 219.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.81 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…a3a2backed FURIA | 37c | 215.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6520…ea4bbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 203.9$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed FURIA | 62c | 202$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed FURIA | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed FURIA | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…2feebacked FURIA | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 195$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…9fb7backed FURIA | 53c | 194.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…1613backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 190.23$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 190$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed FURIA | 58c | 187$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed FURIA | 63c | 184.59$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.29 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 165.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked FURIA | 68c | 163.62$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked FURIA | 62c | 161.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed FURIA | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group AFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.