TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdddc…e726

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Tweets at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT3354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.81
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.91
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.62
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.22
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.08
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$46.22
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$71.67
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$67.27
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.32
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$135.7
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.36
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.54
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$59.41
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$36.06
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$73.41
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$90.79
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.99
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$82.17
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$47.72
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$91.94
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.92
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$111.25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$98.22
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$82.65
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.89
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$25.19
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.73
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38.31
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$108
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$243.51
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+96.5%+$234.39
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+50%+$113.93
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.