TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FUT Esportsof Liquid, FUT Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,160,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,266,608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,160,056 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 524 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked FUT Esports50c324,421$163,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160,711.6942440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Liquid52c96,250$50,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,05039249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Liquid52c80,000$41,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,60011146.8%52 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed FUT Esports49c80,000$39,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,799.917943%34 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Liquid53c78,372$41,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,45541649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked FUT Esports48c40,000$19,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,799.992055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Liquid53c39,272$20,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,814.293351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FUT Esports48c37,450$17,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,654.2683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Liquid24c34,729$8,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,395.443,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed FUT Esports48c30,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,599.9913954.7%76 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…24f9backed Liquid47c29,607$13,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,810.46650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Liquid52c29,531$15,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,365.993844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8918…f4e4backed Liquid0c21,321$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.42528%7 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Liquid51c18,390$9,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,416.7424846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Liquid51c17,981$9,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,09428453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked Liquid44c17,747$7,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,848.3919757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Liquid47c17,374$8,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,201.581,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed Liquid47c16,505$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8003652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd9…3373backed Liquid51c15,530$7,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,995.996752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Liquid51c15,000$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,649.9272453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed FUT Esports47c14,172$6,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,511.0315347.1%72 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Liquid51c13,902$7,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0906934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed Liquid50c13,883$6,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,980.292147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed FUT Esports48c13,598$6,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,082.2112653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed FUT Esports48c13,213$6,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,871.2211758.1%68 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Liquid53c12,480$6,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,634.7367041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Liquid52c11,613$6,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,038.923154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11bc…aa21backed Liquid52c10,982$5,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,710.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed FUT Esports45c10,558$4,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,812.2911252.7%59 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Liquid52c10,000$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,150.0275450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b4…d5e5backed Liquid53c9,659$5,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,074.642147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Liquid29c9,334$2,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,706.7624440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Liquid41c8,902$3,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,642.5419455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Liquid52c8,661$4,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,514.159839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Liquid47c8,320$3,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,895.2821042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Liquid39c7,934$3,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,057.9812150.4%61 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports51c7,845$3,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,847.353,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Liquid52c7,503$3,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900.9722448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Liquid53c6,723$3,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,563.1846949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FUT Esports63c6,589$4,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.361,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x147e…0a4bbacked FUT Esports49c6,101$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,100.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Liquid51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.996147.5%29 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed FUT Esports48c5,941$2,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,089.1810551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed FUT Esports49c5,886$2,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,001.8635153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed FUT Esports73c5,625$4,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.918052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…d41cbacked Liquid53c5,600$2,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,968425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Liquid52c5,400$2,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80857647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FUT Esports43c4,433$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.531,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Liquid37c4,427$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.6447738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Liquid52c3,842$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99881751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Liquid29c3,784$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.3615441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Liquid51c3,608$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84011940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed FUT Esports46c3,576$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.3797040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed FUT Esports48c3,500$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Liquid45c3,424$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.0432930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Liquid52c3,388$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.8710735.5%38 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Liquid44c3,000$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.726432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports61c2,717$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.712,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Liquid23c2,666$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.897,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c6…1c37backed FUT Esports49c2,567$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.1311937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Liquid12c2,360$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.197342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70c5…457fbacked Liquid35c2,336$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.652055%11 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Liquid53c2,253$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.381741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa097…8795backed FUT Esports46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.9117347.4%82 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed FUT Esports47c2,137$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.76152.5%32 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Liquid52c2,091$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.4511638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Liquid22c2,019$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44022843.9%100 W · 128 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Liquid52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04030340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed FUT Esports48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0401,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Liquid50c1,983$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.4688242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Liquid40c1,982$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.8221055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c2…55c3backed Liquid51c1,967$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.027642.1%32 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Liquid52c1,931$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.6417148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Liquid52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007940.5%32 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Liquid53c1,913$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.0215255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid29c1,897$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.814,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…ac58backed FUT Esports49c1,867$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked FUT Esports49c1,837$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.734951%25 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde21…594dbacked Liquid51c1,818$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.18520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-56%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6d0…2c2bbacked Liquid51c1,736$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.811030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Liquid25c1,723$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.71,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Liquid28c1,700$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.991,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7c…6c8cbacked Liquid52c1,636$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4291…c592backed Liquid52c1,592$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Liquid46c1,543$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.6355845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Liquid41c1,513$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.2761837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Liquid51c1,500$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77044648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf66…5b45backed Liquid41c1,482$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed FUT Esports46c1,466$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.6326344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Liquid18c1,466$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.978416.7%14 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked FUT Esports46c1,460$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.135850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa10…3fc9backed Liquid27c1,386$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.312711.1%3 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-73.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Liquid52c1,377$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.752,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba11…59d6backed Liquid52c1,346$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Liquid48c1,321$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.1612450%62 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed FUT Esports48c1,321$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.418751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed FUT Esports47c1,300$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6899946.5%46 W · 53 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed FUT Esports49c1,224$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.497149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9136…64a9backed Liquid52c1,216$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed FUT Esports50c1,190$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.01825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.