CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c8cc3048e706bf26da6eef8e18769c58d834563925e05cf5dc4328794efba6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof Liquid, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Liquid | 24c | 12,378$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031.66 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports | 64c | 6,964$4,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.17 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FUT Esports | 38c | 3,488$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.24 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55f…5705backed Liquid | 1c | 2,800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 5%3 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Liquid | 37c | 2,340$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.83 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Liquid | 52c | 2,315$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.95 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports | 64c | 2,128$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.39 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334e…26f1backed FUT Esports | 68c | 1,767$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.23 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Liquid | 41c | 1,598$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.8 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Liquid | 23c | 1,596$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.44 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.8 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid | 36c | 1,333$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.06 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Liquid | 18c | 1,195$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.88 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Liquid | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595b…c9d0backed FUT Esports | 79c | 977.91$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FUT Esports | 62c | 907.85$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.13 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…300bbacked FUT Esports | 69c | 785.02$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.67 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Liquid | 8c | 775.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…2aaebacked Liquid | 60c | 750.75$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Liquid | 23c | 706.48$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.14 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…e93dbacked Liquid | 37c | 706.01$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.75 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Liquid | 51c | 476.22$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.87 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FUT Esports | 70c | 405.54$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.98 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked FUT Esports | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Liquid | 38c | 394.19$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 120 | 27.5%33 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Liquid | 63c | 388.7$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.26 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Liquid | 68c | 384.67$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.74 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Liquid | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Liquid | 56c | 258$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.62 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Liquid | 39c | 257.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed FUT Esports | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 229.08$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…c7f6backed Liquid | 53c | 200.45$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed Liquid | 45c | 177.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…8e0dbacked Liquid | 28c | 175.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Liquid | 57c | 175.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 538 | 59.3%319 W · 219 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed FUT Esports | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…aca0backed FUT Esports | 37c | 158.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.26 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbea4…2effbacked Liquid | 9c | 152.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…5b3abacked FUT Esports | 67c | 147.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Liquid | 13c | 146.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x194e…1833backed Liquid | 59c | 141.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked FUT Esports | 73c | 131.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Liquid | 15c | 126.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc170…dfe9backed Liquid | 19c | 108.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…d1bbbacked Liquid | 10c | 108.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Liquid | 19c | 108$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Liquid | 11c | 101.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Liquid | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Liquid | 47c | 81.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe06b…147fbacked FUT Esports | 53c | 69.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed FUT Esports | 54c | 66.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…809ebacked Liquid | 51c | 63.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed FUT Esports | 71c | 60.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Liquid | 32c | 54.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…ead2backed Liquid | 36c | 52.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Liquid | 29c | 49.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed Liquid | 60c | 48.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed FUT Esports | 43c | 46.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Liquid | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed FUT Esports | 68c | 44.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeba…3d1dbacked Liquid | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…b213backed Liquid | 43c | 37.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…9d8bbacked Liquid | 58c | 28.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed FUT Esports | 57c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Liquid | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Liquid | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…909abacked FUT Esports | 73c | 23.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed FUT Esports | 56c | 22.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked FUT Esports | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Esports | 75c | 14.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-InFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.