Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96302bf00c5d2919bf9c51acae066aeab7abc64eec50f90e4c95f4b504b97622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,017,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,103,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,017,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 509 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 57c | 330,439$188,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142,197.71 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Liquid | 46c | 144,608$66,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,400 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 43c | 41,426$17,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,665.64 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Team Liquid | 43c | 40,086$17,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,235.43 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Liquid | 43c | 38,000$16,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,340 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 56c | 38,000$21,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,835.4 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 35,874$19,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,721.95 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Liquid | 42c | 33,340$13,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,880.4 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Falcons | 55c | 32,337$17,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,596.74 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid | 43c | 30,376$13,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,119.73 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 25,251$14,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,925.58 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.99 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Liquid | 44c | 22,595$9,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,862.83 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Liquid | 47c | 20,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 76c | 18,066$13,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,262.21 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons | 56c | 13,616$7,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,990.99 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 12,000$5,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,142.5 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 44c | 12,000$5,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,275.67 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Falcons | 52c | 11,380$5,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,462.39 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Team Liquid | 45c | 10,328$4,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,629.83 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Falcons | 73c | 10,261$7,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790.38 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Falcons | 52c | 10,046$5,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,822.07 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 10,030$4,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400.58 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 10,000$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 10,000$5,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,132.9 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Falcons | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 43c | 10,000$4,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340.76 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid | 45c | 9,536$4,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,322.88 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Team Liquid | 46c | 9,422$4,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,334.12 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 9,365$5,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,061.58 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Liquid | 43c | 9,340$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons | 57c | 9,324$5,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.14 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 8,811$4,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,115.27 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 8,519$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Team Liquid | 42c | 8,417$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Falcons | 59c | 8,000$4,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.85 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Team Liquid | 43c | 7,521$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.03 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 6,815$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680.2 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Liquid | 41c | 6,775$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.35 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Team Liquid | 54c | 6,213$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.3 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 5,550$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons | 56c | 5,310$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.15 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Liquid | 42c | 5,218$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.28 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Liquid | 43c | 4,744$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0a…1a3ebacked Team Liquid | 47c | 4,618$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed Team Falcons | 56c | 4,177$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.92 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Liquid | 46c | 4,076$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.63 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Team Falcons | 53c | 3,927$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.63 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Falcons | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Team Liquid | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 3,483$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.3 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…6ed0backed Team Falcons | 71c | 3,459$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.19 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Falcons | 56c | 3,408$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.28 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 3,318$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.47 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Team Liquid | 55c | 3,300$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 3,272$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Team Liquid | 43c | 3,075$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Falcons | 57c | 3,013$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.58 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 3,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.98 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed Team Falcons | 71c | 2,820$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.76 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 42c | 2,814$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.87 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 30c | 2,758$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.61 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Liquid | 43c | 2,672$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.81 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…6c9abacked Team Falcons | 54c | 2,639$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 2,545$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.17 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Liquid | 44c | 2,514$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.61 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Liquid | 47c | 2,493$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.91 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Liquid | 44c | 2,400$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Liquid | 47c | 2,400$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.97 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Liquid | 36c | 2,396$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.48 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 2,379$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.4 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 2,252$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.8 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…1744backed Team Falcons | 53c | 2,186$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid | 45c | 2,149$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.54 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Liquid | 44c | 2,133$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.57 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 58c | 2,119$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.35 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…b82dbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 2,090$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.1 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Falcons | 55c | 2,072$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.13 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…7104backed Team Liquid | 49c | 2,009$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Team Liquid | 28c | 2,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2c…e008backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,900$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,896$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.28 | 252 | 59.1%149 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid | 47c | 1,862$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.71 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Liquid | 23c | 1,750$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.08 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Team Liquid | 43c | 1,722$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.49 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,718$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.61 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Team Liquid | 43c | 1,700$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Liquid | 38c | 1,604$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.81 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,593$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.59 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 54c | 1,528$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.7 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 46c | 1,500$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.74 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Team Liquid | 49c | 1,497$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.17 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 1,470$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.84 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Liquid | 37c | 1,468$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.95 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,448$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.33 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,440$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.98 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Team Falcons | 57c | 1,435$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.19 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.