Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6a06a6dbcdb9057fccfa0161623a355c8b14535ef1b29338f69b78b7017c759
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $830,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,041,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $830,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Liquid | 48c | 154,517$74,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,364.18 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Falcons | 57c | 70,851$40,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,291.36 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Team Falcons | 49c | 53,442$26,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,255.54 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 54c | 50,855$27,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,393.47 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 27c | 38,242$10,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,305.86 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Team Falcons | 49c | 35,126$17,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,915.41 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 56c | 29,250$16,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,782.27 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Liquid | 43c | 22,548$9,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,666.29 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 42c | 22,221$9,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,332.89 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 20,728$10,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,461.97 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid | 44c | 20,204$8,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,805.03 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons | 59c | 20,000$11,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,198.4 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…1137backed Team Liquid | 51c | 19,263$9,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,824.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 39c | 15,673$6,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,092.76 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 42c | 11,843$4,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,972.39 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Liquid | 44c | 11,750$5,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,140.62 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Liquid | 43c | 11,388$4,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,910.81 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…ab8fbacked Team Liquid | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 10,998$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,705.12 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Falcons | 50c | 10,064$5,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,007.15 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 10,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.97 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 41c | 9,184$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,765.42 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Falcons | 66c | 9,173$6,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.57 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…7104backed Team Falcons | 66c | 7,727$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.27 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 7,672$4,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.49 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons | 57c | 7,419$4,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.01 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Team Falcons | 57c | 7,124$4,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.76 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 42c | 6,846$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.32 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 5,661$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.99 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Liquid | 44c | 5,500$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.46 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Team Falcons | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 41c | 4,306$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.36 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons | 57c | 4,184$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Liquid | 35c | 4,032$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.78 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 3,791$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.35 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Team Falcons | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…6ed0backed Team Falcons | 55c | 3,547$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.13 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Liquid | 41c | 3,543$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.69 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Team Liquid | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Team Falcons | 55c | 3,375$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.12 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 3,310$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.45 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Falcons | 76c | 3,081$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.25 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Falcons | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Team Liquid | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 2,724$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.48 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 2,706$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.2 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Team Falcons | 58c | 2,484$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.36 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Falcons | 57c | 2,400$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.92 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Team Liquid | 39c | 2,371$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.67 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 2,350$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 2,290$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.3 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Team Liquid | 48c | 2,202$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.28 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Liquid | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 36c | 1,997$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.35 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 44c | 1,996$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.5 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Liquid | 22c | 1,952$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.87 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Liquid | 25c | 1,861$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.2 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,750$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.5 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,720$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.54 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 1,691$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.92 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,623$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.37 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,623$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.89 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Liquid | 21c | 1,591$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.32 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Team Falcons | 70c | 1,579$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.41 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,560$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.72 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,559$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.95 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Liquid | 39c | 1,528$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Falcons | 66c | 1,514$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.18 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 1,502$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.23 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Team Falcons | 57c | 1,459$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.38 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Team Liquid | 21c | 1,449$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.25 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…394dbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 1,410$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed Team Falcons | 67c | 1,373$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.98 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…13c4backed Team Liquid | 44c | 1,345$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Liquid | 38c | 1,332$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.69 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Falcons | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.96 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 1,276$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.63 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Team Liquid | 44c | 1,271$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.39 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Liquid | 7c | 1,257$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…1744backed Team Liquid | 46c | 1,251$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.26 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Liquid | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 1,196$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 1,182$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.9 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 41c | 1,153$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,100$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 67c | 1,082$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.99 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…2d93backed Team Liquid | 15c | 1,070$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.69 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 1,033$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.52 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Liquid | 26c | 1,032$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.7 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15dd…11dbbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 1,028$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 1,011$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.32 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 1,011$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.21 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…906cbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.05 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Liquid | 4c | 999.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.