Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb85ad9159c61c9f66f03598ee0cdc18494b15f89bbf9ed64baf546c2121ff039
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circleof Inner Circle, MODUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad2f…ac6abacked Inner Circle | 59c | 4,644$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.71 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…8659backed Inner Circle | 71c | 2,000$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MODUS | 42c | 1,991$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.37 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Inner Circle | 78c | 1,899$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.95 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MODUS | 54c | 1,286$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…6c9abacked MODUS | 57c | 1,236$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Inner Circle | 42c | 1,194$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.8 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Inner Circle | 48c | 1,156$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.99 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked MODUS | 58c | 1,117$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.93 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…e804backed Inner Circle | 57c | 1,098$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Inner Circle | 59c | 1,080$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.57 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Inner Circle | 66c | 1,018$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.12 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MODUS | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Inner Circle | 45c | 995.48$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.22 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked MODUS | 42c | 876.95$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.32 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed MODUS | 20c | 842.67$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.73 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed MODUS | 50c | 635$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.5 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked MODUS | 32c | 610$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.95 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Inner Circle | 70c | 593.14$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.11 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed MODUS | 33c | 510.17$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.36 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed MODUS | 42c | 508$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.49 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Inner Circle | 66c | 500.87$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.87 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…86c8backed MODUS | 37c | 500.27$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c73…e6cebacked MODUS | 46c | 496.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.59 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked MODUS | 24c | 480.33$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.32 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked MODUS | 2c | 468$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 4cpaid | +608.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked MODUS | 30c | 460.55$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.05 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Inner Circle | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Inner Circle | 47c | 430.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.1 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS | 42c | 428.2$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.18 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed MODUS | 39c | 400$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked MODUS | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed MODUS | 39c | 400$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed MODUS | 50c | 397.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed MODUS | 44c | 395.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.17 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…1d29backed MODUS | 28c | 354.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Inner Circle | 47c | 344.41$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.58 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed MODUS | 54c | 333.89$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Inner Circle | 40c | 319.68$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.81 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Inner Circle | 69c | 318.34$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.82 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Inner Circle | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed MODUS | 35c | 300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed MODUS | 35c | 300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked MODUS | 37c | 298$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe416…7fc0backed MODUS | 33c | 296.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed MODUS | 53c | 274.87$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.77 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked MODUS | 36c | 272.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…b7cdbacked MODUS | 57c | 271.95$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.01 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…158fbacked MODUS | 13c | 249.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed MODUS | 33c | 242$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked MODUS | 33c | 242$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed MODUS | 33c | 242$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed MODUS | 33c | 242$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked MODUS | 41c | 218$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked MODUS | 32c | 207.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed MODUS | 49c | 202.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Inner Circle | 49c | 200.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked MODUS | 39c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed MODUS | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed MODUS | 39c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Inner Circle | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Inner Circle | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Inner Circle | 56c | 172.56$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed MODUS | 49c | 169.54$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.79 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Inner Circle | 58c | 158.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Inner Circle | 50c | 156.64$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked MODUS | 60c | 150.01$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.26 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed MODUS | 45c | 148.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…5146backed Inner Circle | 45c | 147.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 253 | 56.5%143 W · 110 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Inner Circle | 34c | 142.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Inner Circle | 49c | 139.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked MODUS | 36c | 139.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed MODUS | 53c | 139.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed MODUS | 70c | 137.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Inner Circle | 42c | 135$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Inner Circle | 76c | 130.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Inner Circle | 55c | 130$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked MODUS | 42c | 123.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed MODUS | 12c | 119.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Inner Circle | 51c | 116.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Inner Circle | 46c | 115.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…783fbacked MODUS | 23c | 109.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed MODUS | 39c | 108$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Inner Circle | 62c | 105.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Inner Circle | 48c | 104.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2669…fa0dbacked MODUS | 43c | 104.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Inner Circle | 29c | 101.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed MODUS | 48c | 101.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed MODUS | 37c | 101.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Inner Circle | 77c | 101.21$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Inner Circle | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Inner Circle | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed MODUS | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed MODUS | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…7a8ebacked MODUS | 54c | 99.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed MODUS | 40c | 96.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Inner Circle | 23c | 96.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed MODUS | 77c | 96.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…e726backed Inner Circle | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Inner Circle | 65c | 90.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS - Game 1 WinnerInner Circle won
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerMODUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.