TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Inner Circleof Inner Circle, MODUS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,576 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xad2f…ac6abacked Inner Circle59c4,644$2,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.712290.9%20 W · 2 L+6.6wins+0.30per pick61cpaid+55.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xce83…8659backed Inner Circle71c2,000$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.544100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked MODUS42c1,991$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.371,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked Inner Circle78c1,899$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9512764.6%82 W · 45 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked MODUS54c1,286$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6891,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd3…6c9abacked MODUS57c1,236$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Inner Circle42c1,194$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.895342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Inner Circle48c1,156$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.9937945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked MODUS58c1,117$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.9386659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde24…e804backed Inner Circle57c1,098$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.03580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+84.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Inner Circle59c1,080$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.5750850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Inner Circle66c1,018$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.1250769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed MODUS48c999.98$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9979959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Inner Circle45c995.48$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.2254753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked MODUS42c876.95$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.3214343.4%62 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed MODUS20c842.67$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.7335430.5%108 W · 246 L-27.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed MODUS50c635$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.58042.5%34 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked MODUS32c610$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9569033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Inner Circle70c593.14$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1193546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed MODUS33c510.17$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3623342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed MODUS42c508$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4950247.6%239 W · 263 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd19e…d70ebacked Inner Circle66c500.87$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.8720859.6%124 W · 84 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a19…86c8backed MODUS37c500.27$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.971540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c73…e6cebacked MODUS46c496.96$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.593050%15 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked MODUS24c480.33$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3228336.4%103 W · 180 L+1.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked MODUS2c468$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.041216.7%2 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick4cpaid+608.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked MODUS30c460.55$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.05442.3%1 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-89.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Inner Circle46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7855457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Inner Circle47c430.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.11,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS42c428.2$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.182,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed MODUS39c400$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.88448.8%41 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked MODUS30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.48846.6%41 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed MODUS39c400$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.816837.5%63 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed MODUS50c397.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20045352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed MODUS44c395.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1741455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94f5…1d29backed MODUS28c354.93$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.921915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-70.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Inner Circle47c344.41$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.5854246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed MODUS54c333.89$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.94148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Inner Circle40c319.68$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8169835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Inner Circle69c318.34$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8252046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Inner Circle70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9046664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed MODUS35c300$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10416250%81 W · 81 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed MODUS35c300$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10430250%151 W · 151 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked MODUS37c298$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8317636.9%65 W · 111 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe416…7fc0backed MODUS33c296.96$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed MODUS53c274.87$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7711652.6%61 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked MODUS36c272.57$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.124337.2%16 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked MODUS57c271.95$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.014151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9941…158fbacked MODUS13c249.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.55133.3%17 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed MODUS33c242$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7720448%98 W · 106 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked MODUS33c242$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7715536.1%56 W · 99 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed MODUS33c242$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7721748.8%106 W · 111 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed MODUS33c242$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7725351.4%130 W · 123 L+23.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked MODUS41c218$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7513129.8%39 W · 92 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked MODUS32c207.35$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3561449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed MODUS49c202.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005952.5%31 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Inner Circle49c200.63$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3272154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked MODUS39c200$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.94450%22 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed MODUS56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11267555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed MODUS39c200$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.916453.7%88 W · 76 L+15.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Inner Circle44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11229240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed Inner Circle51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0820949.8%104 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614b…ca37backed Inner Circle56c172.56$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5613459.7%80 W · 54 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed MODUS49c169.54$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7929432.3%95 W · 199 L-19.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Inner Circle58c158.5$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.579956.6%56 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Inner Circle50c156.64$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7941244.7%184 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked MODUS60c150.01$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2670052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed MODUS45c148.18$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6829143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b32…5146backed Inner Circle45c147.51$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.525356.5%143 W · 110 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…8e7ebacked Inner Circle34c142.23$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8733854.1%183 W · 155 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Inner Circle49c139.28$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.288251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1052…441bbacked MODUS36c139.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc29c…1e43backed MODUS53c139.07$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.144250%21 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed MODUS70c137.01$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7447548%228 W · 247 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Inner Circle42c135$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.347951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed Inner Circle76c130.09$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2234561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Inner Circle55c130$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.540844.1%180 W · 228 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked MODUS42c123.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0791356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed MODUS12c119.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.453634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Inner Circle51c116.73$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.251550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a40…f518backed Inner Circle46c115.22$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2215437%57 W · 97 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x361a…783fbacked MODUS23c109.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.492630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed MODUS39c108$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6924527.3%67 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Inner Circle62c105.9$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0552649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f46…cddbbacked Inner Circle48c104.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9924052.1%125 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2669…fa0dbacked MODUS43c104.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee59…e42abacked Inner Circle29c101.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1128846.9%135 W · 153 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed MODUS48c101.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7220442.2%86 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed MODUS37c101.39$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3864149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe187…a69cbacked Inner Circle77c101.21$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.214367.4%29 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Inner Circle70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010560%63 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed Inner Circle51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4924041.3%99 W · 141 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed MODUS10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed MODUS54c99.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9926154.8%143 W · 118 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb009…7a8ebacked MODUS54c99.95$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.973345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed MODUS40c96.83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.841861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef0d…ef1cbacked Inner Circle23c96.55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3422740.5%92 W · 135 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed MODUS77c96.55$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3456848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdddc…e726backed Inner Circle53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Inner Circle65c90.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6329466%194 W · 100 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.