Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4807375ad750023e039c1a666413760e915ab367d2bfc57034bc5d631775d07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof 1win, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,251,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,400,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,251,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 513 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed 1win | 25c | 200,000$49,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,744.52 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex | 57c | 88,939$50,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,144.76 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed 1win | 43c | 39,592$16,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,867.94 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 1win | 48c | 33,884$16,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,220.94 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Yandex | 69c | 30,496$21,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,466.22 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked 1win | 24c | 28,542$6,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,835.44 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed 1win | 41c | 28,221$11,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,710.28 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Yandex | 77c | 22,543$17,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,229.34 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed 1win | 36c | 18,342$6,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,568.39 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 1win | 34c | 17,501$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,950.23 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Team Yandex | 53c | 17,000$8,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,071.57 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed 1win | 42c | 16,639$7,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,011.28 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked 1win | 38c | 16,013$6,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,129.02 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Yandex | 69c | 14,560$10,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,448.26 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed Team Yandex | 71c | 12,877$9,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.1 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Team Yandex | 79c | 12,626$9,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.92 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex | 75c | 12,527$9,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.87 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked 1win | 40c | 10,155$4,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,021.12 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed 1win | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Yandex | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.99 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Team Yandex | 60c | 8,911$5,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 1win | 56c | 8,424$4,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,734.36 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex | 67c | 8,117$5,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.98 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed 1win | 51c | 8,099$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.21 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex | 69c | 8,000$5,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.6 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Yandex | 57c | 7,770$4,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.98 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed 1win | 46c | 7,689$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed 1win | 38c | 7,597$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.92 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed 1win | 34c | 7,299$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.42 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed 1win | 52c | 7,269$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,757.33 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed 1win | 34c | 7,264$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.47 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Yandex | 53c | 5,918$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.46 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1win | 43c | 5,665$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.9 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Yandex | 57c | 5,498$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.93 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Yandex | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Team Yandex | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked 1win | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.99 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Team Yandex | 56c | 4,922$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.66 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked 1win | 41c | 4,900$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Yandex | 62c | 4,851$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.95 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Yandex | 57c | 4,638$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.61 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1win | 58c | 4,627$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.08 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed Team Yandex | 75c | 4,619$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.67 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed 1win | 30c | 4,618$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.84 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Yandex | 48c | 4,584$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.4 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked 1win | 29c | 4,569$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.06 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…dfefbacked 1win | 41c | 4,513$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.88 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Yandex | 67c | 4,500$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.99 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Yandex | 55c | 4,451$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.21 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Yandex | 76c | 4,283$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.15 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked Team Yandex | 76c | 4,102$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.11 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Team Yandex | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Yandex | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Team Yandex | 58c | 3,804$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.64 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Yandex | 72c | 3,720$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked 1win | 38c | 3,511$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.88 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Team Yandex | 53c | 3,450$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.86 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Yandex | 77c | 3,408$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.42 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Yandex | 63c | 3,245$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.46 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410e…637ebacked Team Yandex | 55c | 3,183$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.77 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Yandex | 50c | 3,175$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.24 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 3,150$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.99 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa5…05bbbacked Team Yandex | 47c | 3,149$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.86 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…c200backed 1win | 31c | 3,138$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.55 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed 1win | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 66c | 2,981$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.43 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Team Yandex | 48c | 2,975$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.16 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Yandex | 58c | 2,870$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.21 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 2,864$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.39 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Yandex | 72c | 2,805$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.52 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc065…00e2backed Team Yandex | 62c | 2,714$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.83 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed 1win | 68c | 2,650$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed 1win | 43c | 2,636$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.07 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Team Yandex | 51c | 2,566$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.44 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed 1win | 60c | 2,517$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Yandex | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 2,417$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.86 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed 1win | 34c | 2,415$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.13 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked 1win | 37c | 2,350$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.49 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Yandex | 52c | 2,274$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.54 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed Team Yandex | 66c | 2,234$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.99 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed 1win | 48c | 2,150$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Team Yandex | 69c | 2,114$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.83 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked 1win | 28c | 2,087$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.58 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a7d2backed 1win | 2c | 2,044$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed 1win | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Team Yandex | 59c | 1,879$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.64 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…bb1cbacked Team Yandex | 75c | 1,877$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Team Yandex | 60c | 1,850$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked 1win | 34c | 1,839$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Team Yandex | 75c | 1,800$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Yandex | 55c | 1,800$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.99 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed 1win | 34c | 1,777$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.58 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked 1win | 20c | 1,764$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…ea85backed 1win | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed 1win | 53c | 1,698$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ee…a16fbacked 1win | 19c | 1,663$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.94 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed 1win | 44c | 1,573$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.14 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…3199backed Team Yandex | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.06 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed 1win | 18c | 1,554$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.39 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- First Blood in Game 2?1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.