Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ba96d2cbdca197aae7d82950167e2e6dd34c4df77afd7db06850b1e5b8003c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof 1win, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $463,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $531,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $463,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex | 54c | 87,558$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,558.25 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 1win | 38c | 32,792$12,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,596.7 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 1win | 41c | 27,468$11,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,169.48 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked 1win | 48c | 25,419$12,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,167.72 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked 1win | 52c | 19,119$10,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,010 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed 1win | 46c | 18,121$8,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,335.65 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed 1win | 8c | 15,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Yandex | 50c | 14,387$7,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,154.16 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Team Yandex | 55c | 12,500$6,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,633.3 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Yandex | 50c | 11,551$5,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,733.4 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Yandex | 77c | 10,000$7,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.3 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Yandex | 59c | 9,197$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.47 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked 1win | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,229.99 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked 1win | 22c | 8,328$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.78 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…37fcbacked 1win | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Yandex | 57c | 6,500$3,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.99 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed 1win | 14c | 6,108$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.96 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Yandex | 54c | 5,914$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.42 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Team Yandex | 59c | 5,738$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.26 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Yandex | 56c | 5,696$3,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.04 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked 1win | 40c | 5,530$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed 1win | 25c | 5,381$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 5,213$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.59 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Yandex | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.98 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked 1win | 42c | 4,400$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.99 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed 1win | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Yandex | 60c | 3,738$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.27 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed 1win | 43c | 3,585$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.33 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 1win | 40c | 3,577$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.97 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked 1win | 38c | 3,300$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.3 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Yandex | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked 1win | 46c | 2,931$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.5 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed 1win | 46c | 2,792$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.77 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed 1win | 18c | 2,750$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Yandex | 50c | 2,741$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.19 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed 1win | 48c | 2,690$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked 1win | 47c | 2,568$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed 1win | 42c | 2,492$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.08 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed 1win | 44c | 2,477$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.41 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 1win | 35c | 2,451$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.67 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…dfdfbacked 1win | 43c | 2,429$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Yandex | 75c | 2,362$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.51 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c6…d2d6backed 1win | 15c | 2,355$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.15 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 1win | 31c | 2,340$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.07 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 1win | 20c | 2,227$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.34 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Yandex | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…c200backed 1win | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed 1win | 27c | 2,072$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.55 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Team Yandex | 73c | 2,030$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.1 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 1,922$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.57 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…dfefbacked 1win | 43c | 1,863$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked 1win | 23c | 1,839$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Team Yandex | 54c | 1,832$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.92 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Team Yandex | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed 1win | 24c | 1,805$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.56 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Team Yandex | 70c | 1,779$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.29 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Yandex | 50c | 1,750$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed 1win | 30c | 1,704$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.88 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed 1win | 2c | 1,600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed 1win | 45c | 1,553$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.1 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1win | 34c | 1,506$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.93 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Yandex | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed 1win | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed 1win | 46c | 1,500$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.5 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…9f36backed Team Yandex | 58c | 1,485$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Team Yandex | 53c | 1,474$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.77 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Yandex | 46c | 1,443$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.29 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc065…00e2backed Team Yandex | 74c | 1,400$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.88 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed 1win | 41c | 1,302$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.3 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked 1win | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed 1win | 41c | 1,250$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked 1win | 25c | 1,229$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.83 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 1,204$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.56 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed 1win | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…823abacked Team Yandex | 50c | 1,193$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.29 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked 1win | 40c | 1,191$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.75 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Yandex | 76c | 1,187$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.9 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked 1win | 45c | 1,148$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.79 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…0c98backed Team Yandex | 79c | 1,120$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.14 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Yandex | 67c | 1,115$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.16 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed 1win | 43c | 1,073$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.39 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed 1win | 26c | 1,056$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.56 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed 1win | 46c | 1,043$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…ea85backed 1win | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed 1win | 48c | 1,040$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed 1win | 5c | 1,038$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410e…637ebacked 1win | 50c | 1,000$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed 1win | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Yandex | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked 1win | 24c | 997.89$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.65 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Yandex | 55c | 973.8$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.14 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed 1win | 45c | 960$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe39c…71c4backed Team Yandex | 54c | 907.41$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.41 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed 1win | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed 1win | 33c | 897.42$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.87 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed 1win | 46c | 886.66$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.61 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 855$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.38 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 853$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.23 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Team Yandex | 56c | 833.25$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.63 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- First Blood in Game 2?1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.