Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8545a030f00ef7748aa1c00481a9f01ec4b73550aef97b564a3f5a07b31f8f9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $756,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $870,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $756,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 415 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 57c | 89,373$50,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,766.62 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PlayTime | 42c | 41,484$17,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,463.33 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PlayTime | 31c | 33,606$10,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,568.47 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PlayTime | 37c | 27,978$10,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,480.18 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed PlayTime | 1c | 25,780$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed PlayTime | 32c | 20,115$6,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,439.21 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed PlayTime | 32c | 14,343$4,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,558.67 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed PlayTime | 53c | 13,357$7,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,013.63 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 66c | 11,939$7,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,045.39 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 29c | 11,000$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Aurora | 56c | 10,286$5,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,502.24 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked PlayTime | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PlayTime | 43c | 9,936$4,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,303.06 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 56c | 9,750$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,309.55 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora | 65c | 9,726$6,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.02 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PlayTime | 45c | 9,511$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,302.41 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PlayTime | 42c | 9,469$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.68 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Aurora | 78c | 9,194$7,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.85 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PlayTime | 33c | 9,127$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PlayTime | 41c | 9,039$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,704.56 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PlayTime | 44c | 7,578$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.5 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PlayTime | 31c | 7,000$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.99 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 68c | 6,881$4,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.95 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PlayTime | 48c | 6,253$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.91 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed PlayTime | 38c | 5,983$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed PlayTime | 33c | 5,869$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.11 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PlayTime | 39c | 5,709$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.33 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Aurora | 63c | 5,674$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.75 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked PlayTime | 39c | 5,527$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.92 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked Aurora | 72c | 5,306$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.36 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked Aurora | 71c | 5,273$3,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.17 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Aurora | 60c | 5,229$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.15 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aurora | 60c | 5,136$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.63 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Aurora | 71c | 5,005$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.56 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked PlayTime | 32c | 4,636$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.06 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Aurora | 61c | 4,489$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.01 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Aurora | 70c | 4,258$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.77 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked PlayTime | 55c | 4,125$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.78 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 70c | 4,000$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.1 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Aurora | 58c | 3,966$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.51 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked PlayTime | 31c | 3,900$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.5 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Aurora | 69c | 3,685$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.88 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked PlayTime | 1c | 3,612$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Aurora | 71c | 3,175$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.05 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Aurora | 60c | 3,158$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.85 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Aurora | 56c | 3,119$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.89 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Aurora | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Aurora | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.06 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed PlayTime | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed PlayTime | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked PlayTime | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed PlayTime | 48c | 2,933$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora | 55c | 2,907$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.67 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked PlayTime | 35c | 2,895$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Aurora | 68c | 2,895$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.26 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 58c | 2,829$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.5 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Aurora | 69c | 2,792$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.23 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora | 57c | 2,667$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.31 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed PlayTime | 36c | 2,661$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 55c | 2,621$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.57 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Aurora | 64c | 2,511$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.41 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 49c | 2,505$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.71 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Aurora | 62c | 2,500$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.99 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Aurora | 70c | 2,452$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.25 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked PlayTime | 4c | 2,404$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Aurora | 75c | 2,374$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.62 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 57c | 2,339$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.51 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Aurora | 53c | 2,311$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.82 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Aurora | 73c | 2,305$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.42 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed PlayTime | 29c | 2,259$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.62 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Aurora | 53c | 2,243$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.39 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked PlayTime | 45c | 2,172$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.02 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Aurora | 57c | 2,121$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.37 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PlayTime | 31c | 2,011$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.16 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked PlayTime | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed PlayTime | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed PlayTime | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Aurora | 67c | 1,930$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.49 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Aurora | 74c | 1,887$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.82 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Aurora | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed PlayTime | 34c | 1,764$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed PlayTime | 31c | 1,750$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Aurora | 60c | 1,721$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.64 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed PlayTime | 32c | 1,706$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.43 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked PlayTime | 28c | 1,701$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.22 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed Aurora | 60c | 1,672$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.47 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Aurora | 61c | 1,634$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.25 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Aurora | 67c | 1,601$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.19 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Aurora | 55c | 1,533$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.46 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed PlayTime | 34c | 1,512$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.72 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed PlayTime | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked PlayTime | 33c | 1,495$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Aurora | 68c | 1,492$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.02 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 71c | 1,400$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.9 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…71a1backed Aurora | 56c | 1,387$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.68 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Aurora | 71c | 1,384$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.36 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed Aurora | 74c | 1,351$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.76 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed PlayTime | 16c | 1,278$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Aurora | 57c | 1,229$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.22 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa5…05bbbacked Aurora | 64c | 1,215$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.89 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group BAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.