AI · resolved market
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50361a31c2b1ce6e3f094e5455a978e47e296e4956a6863135d4f693c5a711ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 36,111$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 32c | 21,878$7,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,865.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x335f…444fbacked Yes | 44c | 16,414$7,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,237.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2240…4409backed No | 66c | 16,171$10,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,536.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 9,966$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 65c | 9,001$5,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,817.49 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeece…cf43backed Yes | 8c | 8,191$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 62c | 7,401$4,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.97 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 24c | 6,256$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.54 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 71c | 5,085$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,613.78 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…b814backed Yes | 72c | 4,289$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.09 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 47c | 3,408$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 54c | 3,244$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.3 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 37c | 3,006$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.63 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 23c | 2,998$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.48 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 18c | 2,703$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.92 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe37…617abacked Yes | 4c | 2,268$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…88e7backed Yes | 14c | 2,230$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 1,809$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.22 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf192…6ee2backed Yes | 23c | 1,726$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…2fd7backed Yes | 65c | 1,612$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…973ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,576$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.59 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 9c | 1,566$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…9e2bbacked No | 67c | 1,556$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f4…6fc1backed No | 30c | 1,496$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a9…e51abacked Yes | 9c | 1,426$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…f768backed Yes | 49c | 1,267$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,251$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 18c | 1,249$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.69 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a025backed No | 28c | 1,156$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.98 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc004…c095backed Yes | 52c | 1,128$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.97 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1b…a414backed Yes | 16c | 1,114$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…4246backed Yes | 18c | 1,113$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44a…cc0bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,063$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 7c | 1,044$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…c3b1backed No | 35c | 1,022$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cc…cb5dbacked No | 55c | 988.2$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.4 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…93f2backed Yes | 17c | 965.82$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…0a26backed Yes | 71c | 937.06$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…e256backed Yes | 50c | 895.89$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed No | 70c | 863$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2589…6868backed Yes | 8c | 794.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +98%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 68c | 781.72$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.15 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 13c | 777.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…0188backed No | 80c | 746.56$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed Yes | 72c | 706.76$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -67%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7f…1876backed Yes | 8c | 689.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 76c | 656.29$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…77d6backed Yes | 5c | 650.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed No | 64c | 600$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa821…0bc8backed No | 52c | 600$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…523fbacked No | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 10c | 593.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…a75fbacked Yes | 48c | 575.74$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…b53bbacked No | 25c | 570.48$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +183.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 567.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…3bd7backed Yes | 18c | 562.38$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed No | 45c | 556.8$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 76c | 549.61$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.12 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc1…caebbacked Yes | 10c | 525.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 3c | 513.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…3a88backed Yes | 22c | 510.91$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 31c | 500$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.79 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…3741backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 45c | 498.52$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.41 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce75…588abacked Yes | 16c | 489.12$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…e726backed Yes | 73c | 474.2$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 27c | 463.49$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed Yes | 74c | 461.85$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2440…6668backed Yes | 7c | 455.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 5c | 453.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed No | 58c | 446$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.32 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f7…6d1bbacked Yes | 19c | 411.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f4…974bbacked No | 24c | 408.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.38per pick | 20cpaid | +173.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 71c | 402.21$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.43 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 76c | 400$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e7…2fd0backed Yes | 8c | 397.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 57c | 380.57$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.62 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 42c | 375.56$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.72 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…7e23backed Yes | 72c | 373.11$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 13c | 372.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 18c | 372.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…251cbacked Yes | 74c | 362.87$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 46c | 337.34$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.34 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa148…f655backed No | 28c | 336.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 45c | 331.67$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.68 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked No | 70c | 316$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe03…f14fbacked Yes | 66c | 314.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…1faabacked Yes | 7c | 309.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -88%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…a5edbacked Yes | 8c | 306.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…5166backed Yes | 70c | 301.59$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…ed03backed Yes | 34c | 300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 34c | 292.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd1…4c52backed No | 35c | 286.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…2e46backed No | 45c | 281.13$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 53c | 272.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 66c | 269.59$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.02 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 7c | 267.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?this page
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 1, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 10, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 11, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 14, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 17, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 2, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 27, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 30, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 31, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 5, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 25, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 28, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on or prior to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released before August 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.