AI · resolved market
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ce53b95757fafff769752d9a881d4971bdfcf678bcb2088da982a0bf131d3dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $259,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 37c | 15,888$5,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,886.51 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…b814backed Yes | 71c | 15,358$10,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,381.49 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked No | 34c | 13,668$4,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,596.49 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 11,267$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.03 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 2c | 7,850$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.85 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x808f…b31abacked No | 1c | 6,874$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cc…cb5dbacked No | 9c | 6,532$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.04 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…1703backed Yes | 60c | 6,331$3,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.25 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 26c | 4,769$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…93f2backed Yes | 49c | 4,485$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 65c | 4,219$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.47 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…dc2dbacked No | 2c | 4,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 44c | 3,803$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.59 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…e345backed No | 1c | 3,769$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 64c | 3,675$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.49 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed No | 1c | 3,628$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…a77cbacked No | 5c | 3,322$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc004…c095backed Yes | 58c | 3,299$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.68 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…3250backed Yes | 77c | 2,969$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +168.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…9345backed No | 1c | 2,727$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 39c | 2,678$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.03 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…400dbacked No | 4c | 2,474$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 2,408$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed No | 2c | 2,357$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 18c | 2,352$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.58 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 60c | 2,222$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.15 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…2a35backed No | 2c | 2,075$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed No | 28c | 2,065$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d57…f7a5backed No | 2c | 1,958$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 2c | 1,821$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,780$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.83 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fa…1a08backed No | 3c | 1,515$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 11c | 1,500$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed No | 1c | 1,485$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 73c | 1,408$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.27 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb306…0fb9backed Yes | 67c | 1,278$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 68c | 1,251$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.78 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 19c | 1,218$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.59 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd87a…2ee0backed Yes | 62c | 1,216$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf9…9b13backed No | 35c | 1,174$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,131$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 39c | 1,111$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.96 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…b4f5backed No | 3c | 1,089$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a95…fba0backed Yes | 14c | 1,078$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c4…d99ebacked No | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed No | 2c | 999.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 28c | 979.22$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.22 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 26c | 963.95$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.94 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29e0…9a86backed No | 22c | 910.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 54c | 843.78$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.58 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 10c | 820$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf44a…cc0bbacked No | 41c | 809.47$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 11c | 800.16$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…50c8backed No | 20c | 799.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 30c | 788.82$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.07 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc0…6e52backed No | 3c | 777.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed No | 2c | 749.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a52…5a61backed No | 3c | 749.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…4246backed Yes | 10c | 742.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…6bb0backed Yes | 15c | 695.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…2842backed Yes | 63c | 648.7$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.78 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 19c | 631.92$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 65c | 614.45$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.07 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d02…2b1ebacked No | 12c | 590.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 2c | 566.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 66c | 564.71$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.43 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…88e7backed Yes | 77c | 551$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 39c | 544.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.12 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…d72bbacked No | 11c | 533.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcda…05b8backed No | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…1baebacked Yes | 60c | 500$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcafb…02f5backed No | 38c | 459.77$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6947…1552backed No | 3c | 448.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…6cacbacked Yes | 10c | 446.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 26c | 439.54$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 63c | 430.95$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e61…ccd4backed No | 12c | 410$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…ffa3backed Yes | 65c | 408.57$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.61 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed No | 40c | 400$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 74c | 399.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.17 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7a…d837backed No | 30c | 367.39$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…34e7backed Yes | 64c | 344.44$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 43c | 332.62$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.46 | 144 | 23.6%34 W · 110 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…8c8ebacked No | 72c | 323.29$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf583…6f79backed No | 22c | 316$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +175%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed No | 36c | 308.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed No | 24c | 308$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a98…c07ebacked No | 57c | 305.3$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700d…d349backed No | 3c | 298.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 39c | 284$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…e256backed No | 54c | 280.87$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…cb37backed No | 20c | 280$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 25c | 273.77$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.81 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…b53bbacked Yes | 58c | 269.52$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +183.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…f4d5backed Yes | 23c | 257.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 40c | 251.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 40c | 247.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?this page
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 1, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 10, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 11, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 14, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 17, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 2, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 27, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 30, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 31, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 5, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 25, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 28, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on or prior to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released before August 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.