TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd87a…2ee0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
BNP Paribas Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.82
BNP Paribas Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$16.83
Delray Beach Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.5
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Marin Cilicbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Rio Open, Qualification: Elmer Moeller vs Francesco Passarobacked Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
Rotterdam Open: Jaume Munar vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$18
Rotterdam Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Marcos Gironbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$19.71
Dallas Open: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alex Michelsenbacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$48.99
Rotterdam Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37%+$20.25
Open Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Titouan Droguetbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$15
Open Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Martin Dammbacked Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Open Sud de France: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$27
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$21
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Tien (+2.5)backed Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.25
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$34.5
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.5
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11
Australian Open Men's: Luca Nardi vs Yibing Wubacked Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Australian Open Men's: Brandon Nakashima vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+244.8%+$35.49
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$39.99
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+203%+$67
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$53
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+284.6%+$74
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$464.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$73.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Predatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.