Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55d03fdbd5688848498cc51560e7dacbeffa697a1d0e330de35631ea357e6a2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Michelsenof Daniel Merida Aguilar, Alex Michelsen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,432 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 12c | 17,639$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.62 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…9742backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 27c | 7,767$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.18 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 24c | 6,400$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.61 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Alex Michelsen | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.54 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked Alex Michelsen | 74c | 4,705$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.07 | 82 | 62.2%51 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 20c | 4,296$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 3,620$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.28 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Alex Michelsen | 74c | 3,497$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.47 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 22c | 3,237$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.53 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 26c | 2,625$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.39 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 28c | 2,357$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…fd24backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 1,771$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.18 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 14c | 1,737$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.7 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 26c | 1,676$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.98 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 12c | 1,625$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 26c | 1,443$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…c746backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.89 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 26c | 1,218$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.73 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 26c | 1,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 985.07$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.97 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Alex Michelsen | 72c | 932.18$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.01 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 12c | 875.69$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 26c | 802$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.9 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 26c | 799.3$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.82 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 2c | 747.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Alex Michelsen | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Alex Michelsen | 73c | 680.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 77cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Alex Michelsen | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 28c | 631$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.07 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Alex Michelsen | 74c | 630.74$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 22c | 581.41$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Alex Michelsen | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…ba75backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 28c | 525.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.25 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Alex Michelsen | 74c | 511.7$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.04 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 26c | 502.76$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 25c | 453.16$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…98cfbacked Alex Michelsen | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…c95fbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 25c | 383.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 27c | 371.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 26c | 367.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 26c | 351$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 333$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 315.07$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 305.08$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 12c | 269.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…bdcfbacked Alex Michelsen | 76c | 264.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 250.68$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Alex Michelsen | 76c | 229.68$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 275 | 66.5%183 W · 92 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 27c | 225.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 28c | 221$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Alex Michelsen | 73c | 219.17$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb32…787dbacked Alex Michelsen | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 27c | 200.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Alex Michelsen | 74c | 178.71$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 27c | 175$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 28c | 162.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Alex Michelsen | 73c | 136.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf820…a8c7backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 11c | 136$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Alex Michelsen | 78c | 128.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Alex Michelsen | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 27c | 123$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Alex Michelsen | 76c | 117.85$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…07aabacked Alex Michelsen | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 167 | 62.9%105 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 107.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 26c | 105.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…e0cbbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 27c | 100.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Alex Michelsen | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Alex Michelsen | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 25c | 98.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…cee9backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 97.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 28c | 94.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…4df5backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 22c | 86.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Alex Michelsen | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde9a…d339backed Alex Michelsen | 74c | 76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1f…3ad7backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 27c | 74.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alex Michelsen | 72c | 73.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 28c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Alex Michelsen | 77c | 67.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Alex Michelsen | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Alex Michelsen | 74c | 67.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…717abacked Alex Michelsen | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 20c | 61.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenthis page
- Aguilar vs. Michelsen: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Aguilar vs. Michelsen: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5)Michelsen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.