Tennis · resolved market
Rotterdam Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Cameron Norrie
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x482e670937a707da1469ca9a354453b2bb0df2b6073c93175ddf5e5644f2c8b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norrieof Agut, Norrie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Agut | 16c | 17,434$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.92 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Agut | 17c | 8,726$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.95 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Norrie | 78c | 8,101$6,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.38 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Norrie | 74c | 7,250$5,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Norrie | 77c | 6,407$4,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.83 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Agut | 5c | 6,042$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.18 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Agut | 8c | 5,710$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.41 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Norrie | 76c | 4,812$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.03 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Agut | 0c | 4,516$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Norrie | 76c | 2,636$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.05 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Agut | 24c | 2,490$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.49 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Agut | 26c | 2,310$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.57 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9206…42a6backed Norrie | 74c | 2,011$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.85 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Agut | 24c | 1,867$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.68 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Agut | 25c | 1,731$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.52 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Norrie | 76c | 1,500$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.59 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Agut | 24c | 1,333$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Agut | 27c | 1,269$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.96 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…c09bbacked Norrie | 74c | 1,094$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Norrie | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Agut | 18c | 982.83$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.65 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Agut | 22c | 917.4$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.72 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Norrie | 78c | 827$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.81 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Agut | 12c | 757.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Norrie | 77c | 756.15$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.15 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Norrie | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Norrie | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed Agut | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Agut | 25c | 457.48$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.37 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Agut | 23c | 420.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Norrie | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Norrie | 75c | 401.72$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.72 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Norrie | 75c | 400.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 482 | 42.5%205 W · 277 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Norrie | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Norrie | 70c | 358$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Agut | 24c | 326.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Agut | 26c | 310$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Agut | 17c | 265.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Agut | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Norrie | 74c | 242.56$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e5…292fbacked Agut | 26c | 227.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Norrie | 75c | 217.11$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Norrie | 72c | 204.64$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Agut | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Agut | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…824ebacked Agut | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Agut | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…ed3abacked Norrie | 75c | 199$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 106 | 68.9%73 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Norrie | 71c | 194.48$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…714bbacked Norrie | 72c | 186.11$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Norrie | 75c | 180.91$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Agut | 28c | 179.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Norrie | 75c | 162.6$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Agut | 27c | 140$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Norrie | 73c | 136.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Norrie | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c4…14cbbacked Agut | 27c | 131.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…878cbacked Norrie | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…a4cdbacked Norrie | 75c | 121.69$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb597…2949backed Agut | 29c | 118$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Agut | 13c | 115.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Norrie | 72c | 109.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1a…88c8backed Norrie | 75c | 100.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Norrie | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Agut | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Agut | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Agut | 25c | 95.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Norrie | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 194 | 66%128 W · 66 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Agut | 19c | 92.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Agut | 26c | 85.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf048…fb3fbacked Norrie | 71c | 84.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Agut | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…33bfbacked Norrie | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Agut | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Agut | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed Agut | 26c | 76.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…6405backed Norrie | 75c | 75.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Agut | 19c | 75.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd87a…2ee0backed Norrie | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed Norrie | 73c | 73.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Norrie | 75c | 73.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Agut | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…e82ebacked Norrie | 75c | 58.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Agut | 26c | 58.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Norrie | 79c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Norrie | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…9129backed Norrie | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Agut | 25c | 52.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Agut | 23c | 52.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed Agut | 26c | 52.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Norrie | 72c | 50.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Agut | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e0…3878backed Norrie | 76c | 48.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Agut | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 352 | 48.6%171 W · 181 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Agut | 25c | 46.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa946…2b45backed Norrie | 75c | 44.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…261fbacked Norrie | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 243 | 57.6%140 W · 103 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Norrie | 74c | 41.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Norrie | 79c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Agut | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rotterdam Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Cameron Norriethis page
- Agut vs. Norrie: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Agut vs. Norrie: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Agut vs. Norrie: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Agut vs NorrieNorrie won
- Set Handicap: Norrie (-1.5) vs Agut (+1.5)Norrie won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.