Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd14bcd257b1c12042edeebe8419949b14fec6f2f5832ecc749e8ae99b2e0d16f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Cerundolo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $317,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $387,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cerundolo | 10c | 33,560$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.08 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Cerundolo | 2c | 30,669$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.6 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Zverev | 70c | 20,107$14,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,982.09 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cerundolo | 8c | 16,217$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.51 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Cerundolo | 13c | 12,281$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.53 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Zverev | 71c | 12,035$8,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440.22 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Cerundolo | 29c | 10,180$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.11 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cerundolo | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cerundolo | 7c | 9,660$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.37 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Cerundolo | 30c | 9,000$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Cerundolo | 27c | 8,707$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.41 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…126cbacked Zverev | 73c | 6,486$4,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.22 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Cerundolo | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.98 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Zverev | 72c | 4,774$3,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.43 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Cerundolo | 27c | 4,533$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.04 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cerundolo | 5c | 3,700$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.86 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…6f68backed Zverev | 72c | 3,638$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cerundolo | 28c | 3,546$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.77 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…e888backed Cerundolo | 30c | 3,300$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cerundolo | 27c | 3,278$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.32 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…f867backed Zverev | 73c | 3,200$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cerundolo | 27c | 2,979$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.26 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Zverev | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Zverev | 71c | 2,807$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.06 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Zverev | 71c | 2,543$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.59 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Cerundolo | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Zverev | 72c | 2,149$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.01 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Zverev | 73c | 2,055$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.79 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Cerundolo | 29c | 2,041$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.08 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cerundolo | 28c | 1,949$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.72 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Cerundolo | 29c | 1,699$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.72 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Zverev | 73c | 1,636$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.55 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Cerundolo | 4c | 1,607$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Cerundolo | 19c | 1,575$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cerundolo | 28c | 1,470$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.18 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Cerundolo | 26c | 1,450$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.8 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Zverev | 71c | 1,398$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.42 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Cerundolo | 29c | 1,300$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.99 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cerundolo | 28c | 1,171$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.01 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Cerundolo | 15c | 1,005$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.43 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…74e9backed Cerundolo | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Zverev | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Cerundolo | 29c | 999.98$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Cerundolo | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 44.2%92 W · 116 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Cerundolo | 4c | 947$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8920backed Cerundolo | 29c | 918.09$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Cerundolo | 21c | 906.59$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.98 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Cerundolo | 14c | 857.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Zverev | 71c | 705$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Cerundolo | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cerundolo | 28c | 696.22$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Cerundolo | 7c | 681.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Cerundolo | 28c | 669.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.1 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Cerundolo | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Cerundolo | 22c | 639.11$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Zverev | 73c | 635.62$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.62 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Cerundolo | 17c | 575.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Zverev | 73c | 516.6$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Zverev | 73c | 508.89$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Cerundolo | 10c | 499.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5804…dc41backed Zverev | 70c | 499.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Cerundolo | 27c | 463$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.61 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Cerundolo | 8c | 461.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Cerundolo | 28c | 417$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.09 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Cerundolo | 30c | 416.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Cerundolo | 9c | 386.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Cerundolo | 21c | 374.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d1…40c3backed Cerundolo | 13c | 366.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Cerundolo | 7c | 354.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Cerundolo | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Zverev | 71c | 344.82$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Cerundolo | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Cerundolo | 28c | 317$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Cerundolo | 30c | 304.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Cerundolo | 28c | 280$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…7c6bbacked Zverev | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed Cerundolo | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Cerundolo | 29c | 235.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Zverev | 72c | 225$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Zverev | 71c | 214.8$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…f25ebacked Cerundolo | 29c | 210$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…87d2backed Zverev | 72c | 210$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…f159backed Zverev | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Cerundolo | 11c | 200.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…6e84backed Zverev | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cerundolo | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Cerundolo | 28c | 171$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…958dbacked Zverev | 71c | 168.75$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…5bc2backed Cerundolo | 30c | 167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Cerundolo | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4915…60f2backed Cerundolo | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…9c72backed Cerundolo | 30c | 165.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Cerundolo | 24c | 160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c60…2227backed Cerundolo | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -10.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9885…28f4backed Zverev | 71c | 159.32$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…1362backed Cerundolo | 23c | 158.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa46…2b1abacked Zverev | 73c | 149.32$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Cerundolo | 29c | 145.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Zverev | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c50…14dfbacked Zverev | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs CerundoloZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cerundolo (+2.5)Zverev won
- Zverev vs. Cerundolo: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Zverev vs. Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.