Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Brandon Nakashima vs Botic van de Zandschulp
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97516e0dd5ab902c96668e6d91466dd6f78b5a0f7e74ee4fac02e74c8243d068
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zandschulpof Nakashima, Zandschulp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nakashima | 66c | 6,783$4,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,503.45 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zandschulp | 59c | 5,034$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.87 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nakashima | 71c | 3,617$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.57 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Zandschulp | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nakashima | 72c | 2,521$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.49 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zandschulp | 33c | 2,451$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.52 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Nakashima | 65c | 2,311$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.14 | 157 | 65.6%103 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Zandschulp | 29c | 2,147$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.64 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Zandschulp | 30c | 2,005$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.6 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Nakashima | 63c | 1,900$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.98 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Nakashima | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 1,161 | 44.3%514 W · 647 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Zandschulp | 42c | 1,784$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.59 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Zandschulp | 45c | 1,681$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.39 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Nakashima | 66c | 1,520$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.2 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zandschulp | 44c | 1,502$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.02 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Zandschulp | 29c | 1,255$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.74 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Nakashima | 59c | 1,250$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.39 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nakashima | 67c | 1,101$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.22 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Nakashima | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Zandschulp | 60c | 952$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.8 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Nakashima | 44c | 920.27$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.92 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Zandschulp | 50c | 819.19$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.18 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Nakashima | 72c | 791.11$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Nakashima | 72c | 719.27$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 375 | 44.3%166 W · 209 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Zandschulp | 61c | 702.33$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.93 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -15.1wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Zandschulp | 27c | 700.42$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.31 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed Zandschulp | 58c | 613.36$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.56 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ce…b596backed Nakashima | 68c | 592.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Nakashima | 45c | 549.77$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.14 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Nakashima | 64c | 548.75$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Zandschulp | 42c | 547.59$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.3 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed Nakashima | 63c | 517.74$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.67 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -11.1wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Nakashima | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Nakashima | 59c | 451.53$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.9 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Nakashima | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Nakashima | 48c | 444$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.21 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Zandschulp | 47c | 440.07$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.51 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Nakashima | 72c | 400$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Zandschulp | 59c | 399.62$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.02 | 904 | 35.7%323 W · 581 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Nakashima | 49c | 321$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.18 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Zandschulp | 46c | 316.38$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.72 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Nakashima | 41c | 313.38$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nakashima | 72c | 300.14$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.7 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Zandschulp | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 308 | 45.5%140 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nakashima | 56c | 288$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.84 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Nakashima | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Nakashima | 73c | 275.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Zandschulp | 32c | 274.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.77 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zandschulp | 46c | 221.49$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.85 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zandschulp | 56c | 216.66$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Zandschulp | 36c | 212.53$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.73 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Zandschulp | 61c | 206.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.57 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc48a…c6c4backed Nakashima | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Nakashima | 40c | 197.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Nakashima | 73c | 190$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -8.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Nakashima | 48c | 186.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb8…5466backed Zandschulp | 54c | 184.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Nakashima | 72c | 181.94$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Zandschulp | 62c | 177.21$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Zandschulp | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Zandschulp | 45c | 171.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…8b69backed Nakashima | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Nakashima | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Zandschulp | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Nakashima | 41c | 129.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…3fd8backed Nakashima | 45c | 125.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3848…776abacked Nakashima | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…4abfbacked Zandschulp | 62c | 109.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Zandschulp | 53c | 105.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Zandschulp | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Nakashima | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Nakashima | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…4b98backed Zandschulp | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Nakashima | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 136 | 8.1%11 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…7657backed Zandschulp | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1f27backed Nakashima | 53c | 99.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Zandschulp | 39c | 98.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…80cbbacked Nakashima | 37c | 94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…070cbacked Nakashima | 46c | 92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c36…36a0backed Zandschulp | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Nakashima | 71c | 83.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Nakashima | 72c | 81.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Nakashima | 58c | 76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Zandschulp | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Nakashima | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Zandschulp | 44c | 68.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee7…fdf6backed Zandschulp | 38c | 65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5d…526fbacked Nakashima | 72c | 58.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…2d04backed Nakashima | 72c | 57.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Nakashima | 48c | 52.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Zandschulp | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…3f46backed Zandschulp | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 50 | 74%37 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd87a…2ee0backed Zandschulp | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Nakashima | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b0…8bc6backed Zandschulp | 53c | 46.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Zandschulp | 59c | 45.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0d03backed Nakashima | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…38cebacked Nakashima | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed Zandschulp | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Zandschulp | 52c | 38.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Brandon Nakashima vs Botic van de Zandschulpthis page
- Nakashima vs. Zandschulp: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Nakashima vs ZandschulpZandschulp won
- Set Handicap: Nakashima (-2.5) vs Zandschulp (+2.5)Zandschulp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.