TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Brandon Nakashima vs Botic van de Zandschulp

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zandschulpof Nakashima, Zandschulp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,024
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,024 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Nakashima66c6,783$4,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,503.456,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Zandschulp59c5,034$2,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.877,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nakashima71c3,617$2,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.572,44451.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Zandschulp40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9959151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nakashima72c2,521$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.491,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Zandschulp33c2,451$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.528,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Nakashima65c2,311$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.1415765.6%103 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Zandschulp29c2,147$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.6430847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Zandschulp30c2,005$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.67736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Nakashima63c1,900$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.9826045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Nakashima51c1,800$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9181,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Zandschulp42c1,784$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.592,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Zandschulp45c1,681$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.392,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Nakashima66c1,520$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.28053.8%43 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Zandschulp44c1,502$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.0211,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Zandschulp29c1,255$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.7411242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Nakashima59c1,250$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.3927944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nakashima67c1,101$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.222,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Nakashima67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67044038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Zandschulp60c952$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.810043%43 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Nakashima44c920.27$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.9212627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Zandschulp50c819.19$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.181,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Nakashima72c791.11$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Nakashima72c719.27$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52037544.3%166 W · 209 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Zandschulp61c702.33$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.9314643.2%63 W · 83 L-15.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Zandschulp27c700.42$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.3176140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ca…9ae6backed Zandschulp58c613.36$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.563953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ce…b596backed Nakashima68c592.28$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Nakashima45c549.77$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.1433256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Nakashima64c548.75$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35026158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Zandschulp42c547.59$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.31,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x868b…1eb0backed Nakashima63c517.74$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.674122%9 W · 32 L-11.1wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-50.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Nakashima38c499.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1906331.7%20 W · 43 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Nakashima59c451.53$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.91,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Nakashima67c447.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Nakashima48c444$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2199044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Zandschulp47c440.07$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.512,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Nakashima72c400$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28918863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Zandschulp59c399.62$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0290435.7%323 W · 581 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Nakashima49c321$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.181,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Zandschulp46c316.38$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7228139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeabd…8115backed Nakashima41c313.38$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307041.4%29 W · 41 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Nakashima72c300.14$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.74,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Zandschulp65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10530845.5%140 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nakashima56c288$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.841,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Nakashima72c277.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20059165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Nakashima73c275.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Zandschulp32c274.92$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7719023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zandschulp46c221.49$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8588455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Zandschulp56c216.66$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.272,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Zandschulp36c212.53$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7311553%61 W · 54 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Zandschulp61c206.92$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5717432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc48a…c6c4backed Nakashima40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-66.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Nakashima40c197.33$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9310843.5%47 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Nakashima73c190$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.76432.8%21 W · 43 L-8.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Nakashima48c186.45$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.852,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb8…5466backed Zandschulp54c184.81$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.813441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Nakashima72c181.94$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Zandschulp62c177.21$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.212369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Zandschulp29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.411428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Zandschulp45c171.16$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2611122.5%25 W · 86 L-16.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7c79…8b69backed Nakashima72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Nakashima72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Zandschulp30c133.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3311352.2%59 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Nakashima41c129.93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5630744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59a4…3fd8backed Nakashima45c125.19$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.31933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3848…776abacked Nakashima17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204930.6%15 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d2…4abfbacked Zandschulp62c109.25$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.19728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Zandschulp53c105.67$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1522236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Zandschulp48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1737339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Nakashima39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.65554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Nakashima45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4525743.6%112 W · 145 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa26f…4b98backed Zandschulp30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+52.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Nakashima14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141368.1%11 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x982e…7657backed Zandschulp29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c12…1f27backed Nakashima53c99.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.981844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Zandschulp39c98.59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1412846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7643…80cbbacked Nakashima37c94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.841050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8854…070cbacked Nakashima46c92$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.182055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c36…36a0backed Zandschulp60c85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-62.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Nakashima71c83.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Nakashima72c81.94$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599567.4%64 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Nakashima58c76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0293048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Zandschulp61c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.318247.3%86 W · 96 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Nakashima72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked Zandschulp44c68.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.872857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ee7…fdf6backed Zandschulp38c65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.571040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5d…526fbacked Nakashima72c58.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5e…2d04backed Nakashima72c57.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.15850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17bf…5a53backed Nakashima48c52.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.282119%4 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-68.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Zandschulp28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc55…3f46backed Zandschulp29c49.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.495074%37 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd87a…2ee0backed Zandschulp29c49.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.492857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Nakashima41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205860.3%35 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b0…8bc6backed Zandschulp53c46.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8476backed Zandschulp59c45.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.762462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1186…0d03backed Nakashima67c44.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016657.8%96 W · 70 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x762d…38cebacked Nakashima72c41.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick73cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22ad…c3c9backed Zandschulp38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.47771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+56.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b4c…77bdbacked Zandschulp52c38.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.31435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.