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Tennis · resolved market

Rotterdam Open: Jaume Munar vs Alexander Bublik

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bublikof Munar, Bublik
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$599,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$639,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $599,947 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b4…13c9backed Munar25c80,806$20,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,321.053647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…b8f7backed Bublik51c78,906$39,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,918.4113754.7%75 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bublik61c56,919$34,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,921.762,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Bublik80c37,501$30,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,500.2327560%165 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Bublik65c34,867$22,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,258.921,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Munar43c25,681$10,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,933.942,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Munar35c20,583$7,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,203.9476140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Munar37c20,042$7,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,508.9822242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Munar44c18,556$8,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,136.847,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Munar74c16,917$12,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,456.993548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Munar37c15,679$5,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,801.212123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Munar47c12,807$6,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,045.616242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Munar45c10,533$4,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,694.9411,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bublik63c10,368$6,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,835.956,79836.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Bublik55c10,226$5,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,610.7397046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Munar20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Munar35c9,507$3,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,327.2877046.9%361 W · 409 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Bublik79c9,076$7,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.044461.4%27 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Bublik72c8,040$5,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.3835247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Munar40c7,757$3,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,096.0681349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Munar75c7,684$5,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,750.0111242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Bublik66c7,581$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,580.5348851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Munar34c7,172$2,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.537146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Bublik60c7,103$4,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,831.491,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Bublik75c6,261$4,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.3113260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bublik63c5,717$3,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,122.353,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3905…82fcbacked Munar37c4,854$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.465563.6%35 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Munar33c4,600$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.5668026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Munar59c3,761$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.2258240%233 W · 349 L+1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Munar34c3,678$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.768,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Munar36c3,645$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.382,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Bublik60c3,205$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.181855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked Munar48c3,156$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50510160.4%61 W · 40 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Munar32c2,887$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.82,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Munar37c2,707$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023429.9%70 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Bublik80c2,522$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ba…bbb6backed Munar38c2,375$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Munar30c2,365$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.555646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Bublik65c2,308$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.698262.2%51 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Bublik76c2,249$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.5233556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Bublik63c2,032$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.791,69450.5%856 W · 838 L+13.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Munar28c1,750$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.57248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Bublik75c1,750$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.4430845.5%140 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Bublik76c1,722$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.5236968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Munar30c1,693$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.444146.3%19 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Munar24c1,567$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37639431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Bublik65c1,539$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4930847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Munar35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5258143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Munar35c1,450$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.511045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Munar44c1,409$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6205853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Munar36c1,375$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.1516830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Bublik59c1,350$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.565157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4c…1ca9backed Munar16c1,256$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.915363.4%97 W · 56 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Bublik64c1,216$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.6778552.9%415 W · 370 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Bublik65c1,154$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.8516743.7%73 W · 94 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed Bublik45c1,135$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.251546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Munar27c1,060$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28346030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea81…81b9backed Bublik79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101060%6 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Munar36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-68.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Munar31c966.34$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.8922033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Bublik61c951.15$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.151,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Munar35c949.88$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.2643243.1%186 W · 246 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Bublik66c909.09$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.091,13650%568 W · 568 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc3…675bbacked Bublik68c873.22$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2213763.5%87 W · 50 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Bublik60c872$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.0225957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Bublik66c835.82$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.8218957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Munar61c818.84$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.4913727.7%38 W · 99 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…96f0backed Munar21c813.72$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.87236.1%26 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Bublik65c773.86$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.8618439.1%72 W · 112 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Bublik72c750.94$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.0249143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Munar20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509757.9%77 W · 898 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Munar40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Bublik50c734$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36717936.9%66 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Munar25c722.81$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.726847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Munar53c706.21$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.291,13242.8%485 W · 647 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Bublik45c640.22$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.0428451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Bublik80c625.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4616665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bublik50c625.08$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.944,51051.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L+135.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Munar40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509530.5%29 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Munar34c611.86$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.296,86748.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L+61.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Bublik65c606.15$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.1528754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bublik64c601.98$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.7187251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Munar36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21617462.6%109 W · 65 L+34.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xdaf3…3bf8backed Munar33c599.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1986930.4%21 W · 48 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d04…d4d9backed Munar42c595.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-72.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Bublik53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0412445.2%56 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Bublik51c555.04$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.540644.1%179 W · 227 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea3…b910backed Bublik80c550$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1104658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbac…435fbacked Bublik80c547.53$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.516944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Munar72c534.5$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.945056%28 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Bublik54c522.12$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.0572132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Bublik58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2422953.3%122 W · 107 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Bublik65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17546553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Bublik45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27513134.4%45 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bublik62c496.3$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.861,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Munar37c467.57$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1731,28656.8%731 W · 555 L-16.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Munar35c462$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.71,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed Munar35c451.03$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.866648.5%32 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Bublik60c448.01$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2147057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Bublik58c419.36$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.795,04141.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L-83.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.