Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruud
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf690615260a18702ecba7439ec67bc4d0b209b45a686630ff7e552cdc9c8ceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sheltonof Shelton, Ruud
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,730,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,962,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,730,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 591 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4d…619abacked Ruud | 38c | 225,980$86,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,573.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Shelton | 62c | 136,344$84,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,673.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Ruud | 10c | 99,900$10,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,185.44 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Shelton | 62c | 68,571$42,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,045.43 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Shelton | 60c | 54,243$32,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,707.03 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Shelton | 62c | 47,680$29,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,118.56 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ruud | 38c | 33,985$12,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,972.82 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Shelton | 65c | 31,312$20,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,104.3 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Ruud | 41c | 30,221$12,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,390.59 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ruud | 37c | 29,671$10,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,878.04 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Ruud | 38c | 27,245$10,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,380.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Shelton | 60c | 25,960$15,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,324.33 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Ruud | 37c | 21,990$8,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,136.29 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Ruud | 37c | 21,768$8,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,004.98 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Ruud | 38c | 21,374$8,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,137.16 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Shelton | 63c | 20,635$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,634.92 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Ruud | 47c | 20,020$9,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,446.48 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…9607backed Shelton | 52c | 19,802$10,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,455.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ruud | 38c | 18,073$6,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,950.73 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Shelton | 63c | 15,491$9,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,808.14 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Ruud | 38c | 15,431$5,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,863.78 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Ruud | 37c | 14,953$5,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,503.74 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Ruud | 1c | 14,500$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f6…742fbacked Ruud | 29c | 13,863$3,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,982.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shelton | 70c | 13,400$9,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,961.7 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ruud | 37c | 13,216$4,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,903.79 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Ruud | 37c | 12,162$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.92 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ruud | 40c | 12,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…5394backed Shelton | 65c | 10,599$6,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710.62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Ruud | 37c | 10,354$3,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.92 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Shelton | 62c | 10,262$6,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.61 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Shelton | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Ruud | 36c | 9,258$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294.12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Ruud | 38c | 9,179$3,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,487.91 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Ruud | 26c | 9,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.99 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Shelton | 65c | 8,575$5,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.42 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Ruud | 37c | 8,200$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47db…fcf2backed Ruud | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Ruud | 36c | 7,865$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831.54 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Shelton | 64c | 7,813$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.5 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Shelton | 61c | 7,000$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Shelton | 63c | 6,987$4,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.3 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…49d2backed Shelton | 64c | 6,842$4,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb072…509abacked Ruud | 11c | 6,800$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Shelton | 63c | 6,631$4,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.68 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Ruud | 33c | 6,394$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Ruud | 35c | 5,535$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.69 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Ruud | 51c | 5,386$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.93 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…e832backed Ruud | 37c | 5,009$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Ruud | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Shelton | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Shelton | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Shelton | 61c | 4,944$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.9 | 208 | 44.2%92 W · 116 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Shelton | 46c | 4,400$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…af57backed Shelton | 69c | 4,192$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.11 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ruud | 0c | 4,088$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ruud | 42c | 3,987$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.32 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…27e0backed Ruud | 15c | 3,596$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +213.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Ruud | 36c | 3,530$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.09 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Ruud | 41c | 3,517$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.07 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked Ruud | 0c | 3,315$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Shelton | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.69 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Shelton | 78c | 3,249$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.84 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Ruud | 33c | 3,238$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.97 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Shelton | 62c | 3,227$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.28 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Ruud | 38c | 3,220$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.07 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Shelton | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Shelton | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Ruud | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…e888backed Ruud | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Ruud | 38c | 2,833$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.87 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Ruud | 37c | 2,706$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.45 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Shelton | 68c | 2,642$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.91 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Ruud | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Shelton | 64c | 2,611$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.96 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ruud | 39c | 2,604$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.13 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Ruud | 40c | 2,502$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.67 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Shelton | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…d4a9backed Shelton | 47c | 2,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…5aeebacked Shelton | 66c | 2,262$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Shelton | 65c | 2,259$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.3 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Shelton | 61c | 2,227$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.58 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Shelton | 61c | 2,204$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.19 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ruud | 37c | 2,159$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.16 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Ruud | 39c | 2,051$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Shelton | 62c | 2,039$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.04 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Shelton | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.97 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Ruud | 38c | 1,921$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.98 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Ruud | 53c | 1,892$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977d…7ddbbacked Ruud | 30c | 1,881$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Ruud | 54c | 1,836$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…de43backed Shelton | 64c | 1,836$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4976…f422backed Shelton | 63c | 1,825$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Ruud | 36c | 1,790$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.4 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Shelton | 57c | 1,775$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Ruud | 36c | 1,729$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Shelton | 64c | 1,714$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.94 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Ruud | 41c | 1,702$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Shelton | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Shelton | 61c | 1,700$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.99 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs RuudRuud won
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Ruud (+1.5)Shelton won
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-2.5) vs Ruud (+2.5)Ruud won
- Shelton vs. Ruud: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Shelton vs. Ruud: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Shelton vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Shelton vs. Ruud: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.