Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Marton Fucsovics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa5cad8878d60fc1cac953e79b7501b50b4864b1b9d1eecc2324807ffc246d22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikof Bublik, Fucsovics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Fucsovics | 7c | 22,917$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.4 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…13c9backed Fucsovics | 8c | 11,979$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.4 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Fucsovics | 20c | 9,233$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.43 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Fucsovics | 18c | 8,961$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.96 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Fucsovics | 18c | 8,844$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.32 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Bublik | 79c | 6,425$5,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.68 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Fucsovics | 13c | 6,142$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.27 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7376…4f46backed Fucsovics | 20c | 5,800$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Fucsovics | 20c | 5,365$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Fucsovics | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.98 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Bublik | 80c | 4,850$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Bublik | 79c | 4,614$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.33 | 659 | 59%389 W · 270 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fucsovics | 11c | 3,860$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.4 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Fucsovics | 19c | 3,632$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fucsovics | 5c | 3,278$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.92 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fucsovics | 2c | 3,005$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fucsovics | 17c | 2,994$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.98 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…0360backed Fucsovics | 20c | 2,600$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fucsovics | 20c | 2,458$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.58 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Fucsovics | 19c | 2,399$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.7 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Fucsovics | 16c | 2,350$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bublik | 79c | 2,172$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.19 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Fucsovics | 20c | 1,498$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.64 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bublik | 76c | 1,460$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.43 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Fucsovics | 7c | 1,443$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Fucsovics | 25c | 1,425$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.59 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Fucsovics | 8c | 1,375$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Fucsovics | 19c | 999.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Fucsovics | 19c | 950.54$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fucsovics | 19c | 941.02$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.79 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…811ebacked Fucsovics | 18c | 905.7$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.04 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5586…e117backed Fucsovics | 17c | 901.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…7dcebacked Fucsovics | 17c | 825.58$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.25per pick | 33cpaid | -77%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Fucsovics | 11c | 750.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Fucsovics | 16c | 736.53$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.37 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27b…39edbacked Bublik | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…7909backed Bublik | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…0c28backed Bublik | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…03febacked Bublik | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…1e74backed Bublik | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…913fbacked Bublik | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Fucsovics | 11c | 695.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…89d0backed Bublik | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fe…98a5backed Bublik | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172a…6502backed Bublik | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbade…84b8backed Bublik | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3792…3f75backed Bublik | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7d…c233backed Bublik | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…4144backed Bublik | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fucsovics | 18c | 597.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Fucsovics | 18c | 562.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…4522backed Bublik | 79c | 551.95$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.93 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Bublik | 78c | 542.97$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Fucsovics | 13c | 537.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Bublik | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Bublik | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Fucsovics | 21c | 499.93$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Fucsovics | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Bublik | 79c | 463.03$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda38…3cc7backed Fucsovics | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Fucsovics | 13c | 416.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Fucsovics | 13c | 407.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…e2fcbacked Fucsovics | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Bublik | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Bublik | 77c | 390.53$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.72 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Fucsovics | 9c | 377.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Fucsovics | 10c | 373.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…5292backed Fucsovics | 20c | 370.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Bublik | 80c | 370.02$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 1,161 | 44.3%514 W · 647 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Fucsovics | 22c | 366$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fucsovics | 17c | 353.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Fucsovics | 14c | 350$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Fucsovics | 24c | 337.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Fucsovics | 14c | 324.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Fucsovics | 30c | 313$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Bublik | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Bublik | 75c | 296.68$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Bublik | 77c | 294.02$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Fucsovics | 20c | 292.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Fucsovics | 20c | 280$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Fucsovics | 19c | 266$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Bublik | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Fucsovics | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd1…3380backed Fucsovics | 19c | 250$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Bublik | 79c | 242.71$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Fucsovics | 21c | 202.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Fucsovics | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…bbe8backed Bublik | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Fucsovics | 6c | 199.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 78 | 3.8%3 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c0…e244backed Fucsovics | 11c | 189.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Fucsovics | 18c | 159.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a9…35fcbacked Bublik | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Fucsovics | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Bublik | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 707 | 52.8%373 W · 334 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Bublik | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x262d…33ddbacked Bublik | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Bublik | 80c | 125.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Bublik | 80c | 124.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…b193backed Bublik | 80c | 120.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 258 | 62.4%161 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Fucsovics | 21c | 118.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Marton Fucsovicsthis page
- Bublik vs. Fucsovics: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Bublik vs. Fucsovics: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Bublik vs. Fucsovics: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Bublik vs FucsovicsBublik won
- Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Fucsovics (+1.5)Bublik won
- Set Handicap: Bublik (-2.5) vs Fucsovics (+2.5)Bublik won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.