CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb081be82e395180151ac863d68a13c6bcb52c2cde87ab20b0ab86e5c8f5528a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 52c | 148,000$76,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,246.84 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 48c | 42,630$20,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,447.96 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 47c | 40,999$19,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,449.31 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 20,798$9,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,979.12 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 49c | 10,200$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…779bbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…892fbacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 50c | 9,033$4,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,486 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7be…3aa3backed Under | 49c | 5,999$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.51 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Under | 48c | 4,932$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 47c | 4,033$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.64 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 3,959$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.6 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.84 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d4…9b41backed Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…9854backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 49c | 763.65$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 50c | 640.87$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.09 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked Under | 49c | 529.69$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.09 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Under | 49c | 445.96$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.52 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3477…ea61backed Over | 53c | 390.57$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.57 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 284.31$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.36 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 48c | 280.02$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.69 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…6373backed Over | 49c | 265.23$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.22 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…856cbacked Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 55c | 214$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.63 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Over | 51c | 213.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 69c | 203.25$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 48c | 131.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…3377backed Over | 79c | 126.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 47c | 118.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 49c | 98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 52c | 85.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…a201backed Over | 52c | 81.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…8b56backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 58c | 53.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…2dfdbacked Under | 66c | 45.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 60c | 40.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 52c | 40.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4461…5999backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Under | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x609b…5877backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…36f3backed Over | 50c | 29.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d59…ee16backed Over | 53c | 29.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Over | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…3e65backed Under | 48c | 22.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…8a1cbacked Over | 50c | 20.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb24…d6cdbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group AFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.