TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf90d…7626

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst IPO at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+122.2%+$248.86
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$127.91
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$238
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$255
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$331.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$186.38
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$144
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+82%+$665.36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)backed BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$97.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$129
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+54.6%+$95.4
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+50%+$76.7
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+37%+$40.5
Sharks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+37%+$54
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$90
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$270
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$198
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$127.5
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$54.31
Canadiens vs. Wildbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$212.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+64.3%+$313
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$160.01
All 3 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.