NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6237a6aeec80379056e73052623e73830db2a1226aea60bb8d72904d5abb92fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Sharks, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,273,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,285,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,273,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 424 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Sharks | 29c | 605,858$173,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173,509.19 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche | 72c | 397,073$284,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,188.37 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sharks | 29c | 123,898$35,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,369.46 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Avalanche | 72c | 91,138$65,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,842.57 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Avalanche | 73c | 67,150$49,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,130.5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Avalanche | 72c | 65,332$46,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,608.45 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Avalanche | 74c | 51,350$37,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,353.65 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Sharks | 29c | 44,192$12,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,688.14 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Sharks | 28c | 39,882$11,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,185.72 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Sharks | 26c | 36,254$9,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,426.06 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Avalanche | 72c | 35,500$25,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,940 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Sharks | 28c | 35,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sharks | 27c | 26,000$7,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,020 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Avalanche | 72c | 25,135$18,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,044.07 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Avalanche | 72c | 20,738$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,738.2 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Sharks | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Avalanche | 73c | 17,786$12,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,802.3 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Avalanche | 71c | 17,300$12,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,017 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Avalanche | 71c | 15,000$10,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,350 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Avalanche | 71c | 14,381$10,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,174.73 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Avalanche | 72c | 13,903$10,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,892.78 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Avalanche | 72c | 13,889$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.89 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Avalanche | 71c | 13,770$9,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.69 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Avalanche | 71c | 12,082$8,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.78 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Avalanche | 73c | 11,346$8,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Avalanche | 71c | 10,324$7,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.02 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Sharks | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 72c | 9,209$6,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.95 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sharks | 29c | 9,042$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.14 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Sharks | 28c | 9,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.99 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Avalanche | 72c | 8,854$6,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.17 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sharks | 29c | 7,927$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.48 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 71c | 7,857$5,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.49 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Avalanche | 72c | 7,639$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.88 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Sharks | 29c | 7,586$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sharks | 28c | 7,313$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.64 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Avalanche | 71c | 6,925$4,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.37 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Avalanche | 72c | 6,911$4,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.19 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Avalanche | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.01 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Avalanche | 72c | 5,902$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.56 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Sharks | 17c | 5,711$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.39 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche | 71c | 5,513$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.66 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Avalanche | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Avalanche | 71c | 4,990$3,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.1 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 71c | 4,407$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.97 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Avalanche | 70c | 4,300$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Avalanche | 72c | 4,167$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Sharks | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Sharks | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Sharks | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Sharks | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Sharks | 30c | 3,667$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Avalanche | 71c | 3,482$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.78 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Sharks | 27c | 3,200$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sharks | 11c | 3,066$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.52 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Avalanche | 71c | 3,009$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.76 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Avalanche | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Avalanche | 71c | 2,972$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.52 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 75c | 2,747$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.91 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Avalanche | 72c | 2,720$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.75 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Sharks | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Sharks | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Sharks | 12c | 2,338$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.94 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sharks | 23c | 2,141$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.67 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Avalanche | 72c | 2,134$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.11 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Sharks | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Avalanche | 71c | 1,916$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.56 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Avalanche | 72c | 1,848$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.42 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Sharks | 28c | 1,800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Avalanche | 72c | 1,775$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Avalanche | 70c | 1,712$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.6 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…f1e0backed Sharks | 30c | 1,692$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Sharks | 31c | 1,633$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…88acbacked Avalanche | 71c | 1,608$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.45 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Sharks | 27c | 1,582$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.14 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 71c | 1,555$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.5 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Sharks | 27c | 1,532$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 70c | 1,455$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.02 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Avalanche | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Avalanche | 71c | 1,380$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.2 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sharks | 25c | 1,296$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.5 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Avalanche | 72c | 1,235$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 331 | 54.1%179 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Avalanche | 71c | 1,216$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.52 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Avalanche | 73c | 1,176$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.56 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Avalanche | 70c | 1,119$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.55 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Sharks | 28c | 1,064$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.28 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sharks | 29c | 1,056$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.32 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Avalanche | 70c | 1,027$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.02 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Avalanche | 71c | 1,018$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.43 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Avalanche | 71c | 1,012$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.43 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Avalanche | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Avalanche | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Sharks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Avalanche | 62c | 950.05$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.02 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Avalanche | 72c | 894.44$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.44 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fab…a46ebacked Avalanche | 71c | 893.35$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Sharks | 30c | 866.67$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Sharks | 28c | 856.07$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.14 | 529 | 46.9%248 W · 281 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Avalanche | 71c | 825.7$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Avalanchethis page
- Sharks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.