NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f71629abf9c1ed302ad0a5546ea8aa65c2cc30b4ce36b42b6637fe0e2712980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Sharks | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Avalanche | 52c | 4,777$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.92 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Avalanche | 52c | 3,747$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.91 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Sharks | 10c | 2,157$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.75 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…3eefbacked Sharks | 49c | 1,964$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Avalanche | 51c | 1,964$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sharks | 48c | 1,252$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.65 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sharks | 50c | 1,127$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.2 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Avalanche | 50c | 805.72$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.08 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Avalanche | 52c | 740.38$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.38 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche | 74c | 695.79$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.05 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Sharks | 10c | 636.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Avalanche | 53c | 603.77$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.77 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked Sharks | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Sharks | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks | 47c | 370.56$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.36 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Sharks | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Avalanche | 53c | 269.06$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Avalanche | 51c | 259.9$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 51c | 245.15$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche | 49c | 244$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Avalanche | 53c | 230$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Sharks | 45c | 215$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 46c | 206.53$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.63 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Sharks | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Sharks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sharks | 48c | 202.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Avalanche | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Avalanche | 52c | 134$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Avalanche | 52c | 102.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sharks | 48c | 100.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Sharks | 48c | 100.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Avalanche | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Avalanche | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Sharks | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Avalanche | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Sharks | 49c | 96.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Avalanche | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3477…ea61backed Avalanche | 52c | 88.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Avalanche | 53c | 84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Avalanche | 52c | 74.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2f…670ebacked Avalanche | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Avalanche | 49c | 66.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Sharks | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Avalanche | 58c | 62.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Avalanche | 52c | 60.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Avalanche | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Sharks | 48c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Sharks | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Avalanche | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed Sharks | 49c | 53.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sharks | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Sharks | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Avalanche | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Sharks | 38c | 49.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Avalanche | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…6f75backed Avalanche | 53c | 46.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Sharks | 49c | 44.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Sharks | 72c | 44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe656…448abacked Sharks | 57c | 43.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sharks | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Avalanche | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Avalanche | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Sharks | 51c | 37.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Avalanche | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Sharks | 30c | 34.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Sharks | 47c | 34.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…5881backed Avalanche | 46c | 32.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b4f4backed Sharks | 49c | 31.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sharks | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sharks | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Sharks | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Sharks | 48c | 25.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Sharks | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Sharks | 61c | 19.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Sharks vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Sharks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.