NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe662bb856341b72135cf5c6720ec8700a1367ac6de35d245b169ab5eeb67067c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 53c | 5,283$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 4,751$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.5 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 49c | 4,001$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.29 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 2,667$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.06 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 2,606$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.56 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 1,425$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.75 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 63c | 1,185$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Under | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.95 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 51c | 725.36$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.93 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 26c | 670.53$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.77 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 35c | 658$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.19 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 52c | 578.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 32c | 561.25$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 557.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 48c | 473.74$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.34 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 457.05$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.01 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 422.29$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.59 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 389.51$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.34 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Over | 49c | 388$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.34 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 78c | 350.04$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 325$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 52c | 276$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.98 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 47c | 230.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.11 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…7626backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Under | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 52c | 160.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 126.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 46c | 123.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 52c | 104$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 51c | 102.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 51c | 102.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe616…ef15backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 52c | 95.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 32c | 82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 35c | 76.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 52c | 74.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 44c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 27c | 69.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 36c | 54.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 34c | 51.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf55…f0babacked Over | 52c | 47.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 55c | 47.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 47c | 45.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 49c | 42.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 47c | 39.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 61c | 34.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 45c | 30.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…5fdebacked Under | 61c | 30.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d21…8648backed Under | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 49c | 21.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…ce5fbacked Under | 62c | 20.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Over | 55c | 19.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 263 | 57.8%152 W · 111 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5this page
- Sharks vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.