TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Predators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Wild, Predators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,213,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,226,545

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,213,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Wild47c245,621$114,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130,735.61,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Predators55c60,772$33,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,491.431,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Wild54c49,302$26,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,810.131,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Predators45c48,863$21,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,988.554050%20 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Predators46c39,884$18,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,346.7415953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Predators48c33,677$16,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,079.661,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Predators47c25,157$11,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,823.8919848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Predators47c25,115$11,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,787.0236748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Wild53c21,500$11,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,10512047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Predators50c20,054$10,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,02012835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Predators47c15,917$7,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,480.8338748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Predators49c15,772$7,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,688.2211052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Wild54c15,352$8,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,062.0161748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Predators52c15,253$7,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,875.0762951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Predators62c15,215$9,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,433.115949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Predators46c14,705$6,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,764.3522550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Predators46c13,755$6,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,327.4214553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Predators47c10,663$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9981457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Wild53c10,375$5,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,910.141,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Wild54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6008252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Wild54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6001250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Wild53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Wild54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,599.993262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Predators46c9,999$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.511040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Predators46c9,631$4,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,430.2661953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb84a…055dbacked Predators62c9,050$5,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,610.95560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Predators61c8,966$5,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,46910650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Predators51c8,852$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Predators61c8,550$5,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,215.53764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Wild53c7,500$3,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,52521755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Predators46c6,500$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9901,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Wild53c6,450$3,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,031.58453.6%45 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Wild53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,82031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Predators54c6,000$3,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2101952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Wild53c5,881$3,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,739.2233652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Predators61c5,700$3,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4774365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Predators41c5,304$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.2439344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Predators45c5,044$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.81,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Predators54c5,044$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,744.3789636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Wild53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35013948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Wild54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.9727548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Predators45c4,467$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.021,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wild54c4,330$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.641,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Wild60c4,178$2,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.7852172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Wild54c4,092$2,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.1686852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Wild55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Wild53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8807347.9%35 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Wild53c3,889$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.8330551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Predators46c3,376$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55318641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Wild54c3,333$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.1875251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Predators59c3,281$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.361,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Predators45c3,091$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.5354047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Wild53c3,018$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.4652050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Predators46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.9824945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x690f…cddcbacked Wild54c2,990$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick50cpaid+66.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0123…84febacked Predators46c2,990$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2116…1f71backed Wild54c2,987$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.02450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f55…d246backed Predators46c2,987$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.02771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc125…a44dbacked Predators46c2,976$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.96955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcf1…fe64backed Wild54c2,976$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28a1…beefbacked Wild54c2,968$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd00d…b17cbacked Predators46c2,968$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd33c…ef57backed Predators46c2,964$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.441040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce11…4386backed Wild54c2,964$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.44977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+49.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a8b…dc55backed Predators46c2,951$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.46683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+58.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c5f…3327backed Wild54c2,951$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.46771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf97f…2a85backed Predators46c2,940$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c5…ce62backed Wild54c2,940$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x305a…004cbacked Predators46c2,935$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.11050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd61b…fecabacked Wild54c2,935$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.1771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+40.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15c6…2af5backed Predators46c2,934$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf5…a3febacked Wild54c2,934$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaa3…feb7backed Predators46c2,924$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.04875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…2399backed Wild54c2,924$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.04887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+64.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4635…7c7dbacked Predators46c2,917$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.82850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2069…fd3ebacked Wild54c2,917$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd3…9919backed Predators46c2,914$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8385…be9bbacked Wild54c2,914$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.44683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+65.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfbf…96efbacked Predators46c2,878$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11b5…16d3backed Wild54c2,878$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.88944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d4…399ebacked Wild54c2,820$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x914f…7bcebacked Predators46c2,820$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee0…37b4backed Predators46c2,806$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.76742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e17…3850backed Wild54c2,806$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Predators46c2,800$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.7791653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Wild53c2,795$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.6528251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x406c…53cebacked Predators46c2,793$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.78650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1643…f74fbacked Wild54c2,793$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.78633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0da5…5993backed Wild54c2,748$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.08955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…a638backed Predators46c2,748$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.08944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…79b9backed Predators46c2,744$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1932…2475backed Wild54c2,744$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.24683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+65.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9880…8083backed Predators46c2,710$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f9…2cb5backed Wild54c2,710$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+45%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Predators41c2,703$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.975563.6%35 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Predators62c2,701$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.614757.1%84 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab10…a0e5backed Predators46c2,681$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.26977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+48.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03fc…ede5backed Predators46c2,681$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97d0…f634backed Wild54c2,681$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.26757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62df…f7aebacked Wild54c2,681$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.