NHL · resolved market
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7254c9b43d5c0c4596cf310b24ad66958b8a07e9a8aa61ea358814820b3a201
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Wild, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Predators | 67c | 3,333$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.88 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wild | 33c | 3,172$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.63 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Wild | 33c | 673.21$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.16 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Predators | 67c | 535.44$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Predators | 68c | 457$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.24 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Wild | 32c | 362.29$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Predators | 70c | 344.19$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wild | 34c | 328.17$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.65 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Wild | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Predators | 70c | 215.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Predators | 50c | 214$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.28 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wild | 30c | 151.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Wild | 19c | 130.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Wild | 36c | 127$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Predators | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…35b5backed Wild | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Wild | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Predators | 66c | 99.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Predators | 68c | 92.07$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Wild | 31c | 89.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Predators | 70c | 72.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Predators | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Wild | 32c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Wild | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Wild | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…b0d3backed Wild | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Wild | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wild | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Predators | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d7e9backed Predators | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Wild | 33c | 42.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Wild | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wild | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Predators | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Predators | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Predators | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Wild | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Predators | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d4…2c19backed Predators | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wild | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b4f4backed Predators | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2530…6a22backed Wild | 79c | 19.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Predators | 60c | 18.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Predators | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…f4d3backed Predators | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Predators | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)this page
- Wild vs. PredatorsWild won
- Wild vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.