TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Predators: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,388

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under47c12,475$5,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,863.4822443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c11,047$5,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,267.979350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over53c7,279$3,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,404.191,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Over53c6,453$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.831662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c3,455$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.991,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c2,569$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23356152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c2,410$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.062,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c2,293$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.5861953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c2,292$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c14…c2f6backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c71…26b5backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa046…149dbacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dba…8ce0backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f88…1f3abacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53b3…f5ecbacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb0c…b628backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf926…20babacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8d…03d7backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf801…8261backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2266…cea1backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x342d…cc42backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd348…ddedbacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c6…9a28backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd127…f7e4backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbae4…533ebacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82db…581dbacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c9…6f1bbacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd487…0048backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ae…ef39backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26bf…8cf0backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb22…b74dbacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x223e…00debacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a9a…188fbacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d99…4c08backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78c7…f489backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133e…3795backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…a4f7backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fe…1c62backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1990…b20dbacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf530…dab2backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a91…4a82backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacaa…f007backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12a5…7bbcbacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ca…1927backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20a8…53f3backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f6…3965backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed91…027ebacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f7…620fbacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b1…f3eebacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2425…c2eabacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8490…51d4backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…9a54backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3a…04f9backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a16…4d24backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30e0…a633backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb94…f7c5backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02e3…f830backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fb…0701backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8640…b9c8backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under48c1,058$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.951,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under47c999.48$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.7616955.6%94 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Under51c868.14$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.757647.4%36 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Under49c842.39$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.513354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38491945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c773.17$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.3951452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under47c758.71$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.5962346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under48c577.01$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.9636748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23532650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over53c466.25$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.1414140.4%57 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over54c445$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.786852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over54c430.14$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.999150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c356.68$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.563,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c310.07$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1466552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Over53c307.85$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.698253.7%44 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c304$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8483149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under46c300$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0122352.9%118 W · 105 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over53c282$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5426243.5%114 W · 148 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c256.88$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.393953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c237.08$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4360741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Under47c215$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0520446.6%95 W · 109 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under48c198$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.047254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c193.75$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0691653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.462447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under47c180.08$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.645644.6%25 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Under46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808543.5%37 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over52c153.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.541,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Under48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c114.22$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.352,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under46c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.630447.4%144 W · 160 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over54c105$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9130349.5%150 W · 153 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over53c104.34$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6919651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under47c102$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9412548.8%61 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4641847.8%200 W · 218 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe86a…7b4cbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f3…25dfbacked Under47c84.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked Under48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over53c68.78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.039149.5%45 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over50c68.14$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.767855.1%43 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Under47c53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.914247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.