Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cdf6b4414c2b4b021724b09babe5c777b0256ee3237833aeed39be9861df661
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ef9…f171backed No | 50c | 137,062$68,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,019.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 46,455$24,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,227.29 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 56c | 27,000$15,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,119.98 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 50c | 24,372$12,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,206.63 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 44c | 17,240$7,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,654.29 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 14,250$7,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,633.71 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Yes | 50c | 7,820$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,910 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 52c | 7,700$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975.77 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 46c | 7,445$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030.88 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes | 50c | 5,887$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 45c | 5,441$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.44 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Yes | 50c | 5,007$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.45 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Yes | 55c | 4,749$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.91 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 3,755$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.05 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Yes | 50c | 2,926$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 52c | 2,835$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.2 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed No | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 50c | 2,040$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.07 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.99 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 66c | 1,577$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.52 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,386$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 52c | 1,200$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 52c | 1,014$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.13 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 50c | 1,011$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.68 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 37c | 936.13$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.37 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…85bcbacked Yes | 37c | 834.91$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 66c | 657.03$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.95 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 48c | 628.51$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.83 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 50c | 594.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 77c | 578.05$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.1 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 57c | 500.88$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 52c | 461.04$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.74 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 50c | 433.61$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.27 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 56c | 430.14$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 45c | 395.05$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.96 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 15c | 350$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 50c | 326.78$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.39 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56f…3914backed Yes | 53c | 325$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 47c | 320.72$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.74 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 47c | 303.77$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…1938backed Yes | 56c | 285.36$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 45c | 283.85$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 36c | 262$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 47c | 255.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 50c | 230.02$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…8a63backed Yes | 56c | 215$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…824ebacked Yes | 73c | 198.11$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 50c | 169.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 56c | 169.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 45c | 166.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 55c | 152.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Yes | 74c | 139.19$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 56c | 133.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Yes | 41c | 123.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 54c | 118.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Yes | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…125cbacked Yes | 53c | 101.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed No | 44c | 98.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb20…d0bdbacked Yes | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Yes | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 51c | 88.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 14c | 85.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 50c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3477…ea61backed Yes | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a12…d3dbbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…b931backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 52c | 77.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…4bfabacked Yes | 58c | 76.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…0a97backed Yes | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa95…6ac7backed Yes | 64c | 73.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2a…e1cebacked Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes | 51c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 44c | 59.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Yes | 73c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 50c | 54.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…842cbacked Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will FC Schalke 04 vs. SG Dynamo Dresden end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.