TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Bucks, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$374,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$404,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,129 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x093f…6240backed Bucks70c54,380$38,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,268.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Hornets41c41,785$17,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,466.6347656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e3…c7f2backed Bucks61c29,585$18,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,046.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6aa…d2f5backed Bucks60c9,888$5,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,967.952119%4 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-66.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hornets42c9,829$4,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,722.4465642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cc0…10e3backed Bucks18c7,335$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Bucks63c7,128$4,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,490.87616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-73.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed Hornets33c6,558$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,426.12564%16 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+51.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Hornets38c5,290$2,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,271.9550047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Hornets39c5,128$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.2127546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3980…724cbacked Hornets39c5,128$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.211723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Hornets34c4,934$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,251.988417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked Hornets39c4,615$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,815.385457.4%31 W · 23 L+13.2wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+76.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x439d…4a10backed Hornets55c4,161$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.16580%4 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick34cpaid+253.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31d0…d03cbacked Bucks62c4,061$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5181435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Bucks70c4,038$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8401735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Hornets37c3,621$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.048439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe642…9440backed Bucks60c3,553$2,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,138.421546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…f0e7backed Bucks73c3,219$2,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,338.191241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Hornets64c3,125$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.6670147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Hornets33c3,106$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.1214233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f09…02b6backed Bucks55c2,921$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.521450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c5…8a34backed Hornets42c2,797$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Hornets34c2,610$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.3325939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Hornets38c2,500$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.938129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc3…be1abacked Bucks61c2,452$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Bucks43c2,350$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.56943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef3b…5cefbacked Hornets41c2,221$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.653450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Hornets37c2,207$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.4346131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfc5…0e1ebacked Bucks63c2,094$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6879…a58dbacked Bucks62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…3b5abacked Hornets38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.94580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+69.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Hornets46c1,900$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.5623548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Hornets36c1,853$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.814637%17 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Hornets36c1,521$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.0261532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Hornets37c1,400$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8827549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Bucks63c1,400$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8828442.9%36 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets38c1,384$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.181,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Bucks27c1,170$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.723732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Hornets34c1,160$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.111332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Bucks57c1,147$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65029635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a1…9fd5backed Hornets45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.051947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Hornets26c1,072$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.299035.6%32 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Hornets39c1,062$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.5419650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfda0…e18abacked Hornets35c1,037$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.015240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6101,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Hornets39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61012154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hornets39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6101,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb63…33d8backed Bucks62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7946…1c01backed Hornets38c999.92$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.951241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0952…786dbacked Bucks62c971.29$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.22653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3642…aac6backed Hornets40c953.23$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.491478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+87.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2831…4e93backed Bucks65c948.93$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.28837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Hornets38c930.63$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.9919943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb59e…3efdbacked Bucks65c845.78$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca24…d180backed Hornets41c838.12$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.121050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Hornets36c828.53$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.3119642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c9…6aebbacked Bucks62c812.63$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.831947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc1f…fec6backed Hornets37c808.97$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.651154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Bucks63c772.58$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48827041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8025…ef54backed Hornets39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.233345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Bucks65c767$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.558952.8%47 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3590…148cbacked Hornets80c751.8$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.363256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b86…d659backed Hornets45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+49.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets38c631.97$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.821,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Bucks69c579.71$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40084957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77a1…fbe0backed Bucks62c559.99$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.21050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0e…1461backed Hornets38c559.9$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.141764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Hornets46c544.45$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.2229043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9273…fcf8backed Hornets39c538.21$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.312951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Bucks63c532.66$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.8921338%81 W · 132 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Hornets38c525.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.079130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c9…b4e0backed Hornets40c525.85$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c1d…bfb2backed Bucks62c513.61$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.441553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7feb…6be7backed Hornets39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.821662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Hornets39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8223646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Bucks61c500$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30626547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Bucks62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3106947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Hornets39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3055248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Bucks61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3055250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Hornets37c499.98$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9934425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hornets7c495.55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.131,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Hornets38c493.18$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.775856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Bucks61c490.4$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016345.4%74 W · 89 L-14.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9f9…fa8abacked Hornets40c468.8$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ee…ae97backed Hornets43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.124837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x585c…175ebacked Hornets39c456.41$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.413751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Bucks62c407.66$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.7411428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1129…b1debacked Hornets39c384.36$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.462147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd701…8d81backed Bucks4c365.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbab6…e5afbacked Hornets38c364.97$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf489…7ef8backed Bucks62c354.62$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.44666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c8…e7acbacked Bucks73c344.81$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58fa…2543backed Hornets40c340$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Bucks62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f58…4138backed Bucks62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-12.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Bucks61c319$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8822039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0732…c6dabacked Bucks62c314.18$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Hornets37c313.84$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8613920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets37c299.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.991,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.