TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Bucks, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$209,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,070

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,451 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Bucks40c50,280$20,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,158.1215056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…a69ebacked Nets57c42,962$24,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,654.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48e4…f310backed Nets0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Bucks68c8,252$5,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640.7972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Nets44c7,365$3,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,215.8411459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Bucks75c4,885$3,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.891,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bucks72c4,243$3,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.6349849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Nets77c4,028$3,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.266744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets32c3,887$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.091,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Nets32c3,044$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.627546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Bucks63c2,858$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.9763555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Nets43c2,825$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.933258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Nets37c2,720$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.8821649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nets71c2,659$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.931,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked Bucks64c2,553$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.052755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed Bucks65c2,392$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.732544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Nets51c2,232$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Nets32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64046131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Bucks69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62037954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…d647backed Bucks56c1,818$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.75658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Nets73c1,800$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.936057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets33c1,792$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.421,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Nets57c1,741$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick65cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Bucks50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80027739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec2…826bbacked Nets12c1,399$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.275820.7%12 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Bucks68c1,377$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.3675347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x185c…dee1backed Nets32c1,256$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.313036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f74…44c7backed Nets30c1,217$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdb8…af02backed Bucks72c1,214$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3391241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Nets3c1,186$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.591338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Bucks64c1,150$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.3425957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Bucks70c999.98$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9916242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Nets19c970.83$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.5345135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Bucks64c900.45$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.1637831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8df…32b4backed Bucks51c900$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4443154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Bucks72c833.83$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.8312563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Nets31c811$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7411150.5%56 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Nets31c768.68$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2745251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Bucks69c759.99$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.66250%31 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Nets31c750$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.59035.6%32 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Bucks63c672.67$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.225947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Bucks46c646.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.888548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Nets31c643.39$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2512154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nets34c616.53$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.811,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Nets30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+41.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ebd…58ffbacked Nets30c600$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf59…fefdbacked Nets27c599.22$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.73520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-43.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d54…2386backed Bucks70c571.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.434456.8%25 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4884…9cf8backed Nets33c570.4$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.784341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Bucks53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.048952.8%47 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6459…c926backed Nets31c550$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.66634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab27…9e6fbacked Bucks69c543$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf619…33f7backed Nets31c543$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Nets31c511.66$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d7…fab0backed Nets50c448.88$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid+50.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Nets30c438.05$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2711143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Nets31c424.66$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.151,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Nets33c412.68$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2729043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56dd…5d25backed Nets32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1edd…f21ebacked Bucks67c399.99$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1324835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Nets31c399.97$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9926547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5202…75acbacked Nets57c398.55$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.03560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Nets41c364.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8811249.1%55 W · 57 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Nets27c355.04$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8623646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Bucks47c346.23$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3961345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16fd…5b47backed Bucks29c341.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.054344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca4…9bb7backed Bucks52c339.2$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Bucks70c335.71$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7111447.4%54 W · 60 L-11.8wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets32c314.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048d…a493backed Nets78c306.59$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Bucks59c300$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12423548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc58…c1b6backed Bucks68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Bucks69c300$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9411146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad28…90d7backed Bucks74c298.92$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.922857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Bucks72c292.69$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.349052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Nets35c292.26$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016030%18 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nets8c288$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Nets38c286.48$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8611235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Bucks57c283.81$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9261532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb222…433cbacked Nets32c281.25$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f0…58cfbacked Nets32c281.25$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Nets32c278.13$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895616.1%9 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-56.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75da…4688backed Nets25c273.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.751435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Bucks61c270.14$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4514941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Bucks23c260.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.8721338%81 W · 132 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Nets30c253.04$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6185542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Bucks52c251.73$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.314562.8%91 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x353b…0d45backed Nets67c230.56$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd7…547dbacked Nets63c217.94$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d8…f9c5backed Bucks69c216.36$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.363161.3%19 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Bucks60c214.93$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.977548%36 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Nets8c208.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.165502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Bucks72c208.4$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.47363%46 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Bucks41c200.68$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.426431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Bucks70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x188d…6583backed Bucks52c173.08$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.085038%19 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+25.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8fc…59babacked Bucks69c171.23$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Bucks60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.223956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Bucks71c168.91$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9184957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.