CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92d7655488905be26cc3bc91dc0470b99ca791e834099be2d4831fa496dca70f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- los kogutosof Johnny Speeds, los kogutos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Johnny Speeds | 76c | 4,500$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.99 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed los kogutos | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Johnny Speeds | 65c | 1,433$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed los kogutos | 24c | 1,320$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.5 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…cf2dbacked Johnny Speeds | 2c | 1,165$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed los kogutos | 26c | 1,070$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.04 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked los kogutos | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Johnny Speeds | 56c | 932.89$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.67 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed los kogutos | 26c | 697$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Johnny Speeds | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…23afbacked Johnny Speeds | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked los kogutos | 58c | 310$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.4 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Johnny Speeds | 42c | 290$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Johnny Speeds | 76c | 251.67$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked los kogutos | 44c | 211.76$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.11 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked los kogutos | 28c | 201.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.01 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked los kogutos | 50c | 200.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebd…16d5backed Johnny Speeds | 72c | 198.57$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Johnny Speeds | 72c | 181.53$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed los kogutos | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 61c | 177.26$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.47 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Johnny Speeds | 71c | 141.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Johnny Speeds | 50c | 132.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed los kogutos | 29c | 100.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked Johnny Speeds | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed los kogutos | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked los kogutos | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba0…a750backed Johnny Speeds | 15c | 93.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked Johnny Speeds | 51c | 83.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed Johnny Speeds | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Johnny Speeds | 72c | 69.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked los kogutos | 24c | 68.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…e574backed los kogutos | 17c | 63.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed los kogutos | 24c | 56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed los kogutos | 30c | 51.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…dc03backed los kogutos | 37c | 50.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821a…9bfbbacked los kogutos | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Johnny Speeds | 77c | 44.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Johnny Speeds | 47c | 42.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…3398backed los kogutos | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x173d…c959backed Johnny Speeds | 71c | 33.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Johnny Speeds | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked los kogutos | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…d820backed Johnny Speeds | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.