NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09ea2a611b2f31b025416be0c4cb52606a012ffdc1f6e29df6f7535c6ec6addf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Senators, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $284,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Senators | 30c | 44,987$13,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,379.15 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 71c | 40,167$28,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,760.35 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Senators | 29c | 27,659$8,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,021.25 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Avalanche | 70c | 18,910$13,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,673.15 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Senators | 28c | 16,102$4,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,508.55 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…d32bbacked Avalanche | 72c | 13,887$9,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.38 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Senators | 31c | 9,644$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.66 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Avalanche | 71c | 9,219$6,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Senators | 0c | 7,610$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef1…3713backed Senators | 29c | 7,597$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Avalanche | 71c | 7,192$5,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.35 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Senators | 31c | 6,839$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.97 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Senators | 30c | 6,751$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.3 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 20c | 6,531$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.97 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Senators | 30c | 6,500$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 70c | 6,031$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.16 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Avalanche | 72c | 6,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Avalanche | 69c | 5,094$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.17 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Senators | 30c | 5,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Senators | 3c | 4,364$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 9c | 3,614$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.82 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 70c | 3,412$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.44 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b68…6f4ebacked Senators | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Avalanche | 70c | 2,857$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.34 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Senators | 7c | 2,820$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.05 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Avalanche | 70c | 2,197$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.68 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Senators | 29c | 2,170$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.3 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Senators | 12c | 2,076$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.01 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Avalanche | 70c | 2,043$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.91 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Avalanche | 70c | 1,979$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.57 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Avalanche | 72c | 1,806$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.56 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed Senators | 1c | 1,682$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Senators | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Avalanche | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche | 71c | 1,500$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.49 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Senators | 28c | 1,487$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.28 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…ffafbacked Avalanche | 71c | 1,338$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…7166backed Senators | 30c | 1,233$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c19…b080backed Senators | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70aa…6ba5backed Avalanche | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…e938backed Senators | 2c | 1,130$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 117 | 13.7%16 W · 101 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche | 71c | 1,111$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.19 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Avalanche | 70c | 1,100$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.33 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Senators | 30c | 1,093$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.61 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Senators | 7c | 1,045$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Senators | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7340…4656backed Avalanche | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Senators | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Senators | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Avalanche | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Avalanche | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Senators | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 9c | 999.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907b…28b6backed Senators | 29c | 949.73$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…326fbacked Senators | 29c | 915.08$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Avalanche | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -15.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Senators | 12c | 805.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5806…5863backed Avalanche | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Senators | 17c | 792.01$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.58 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Avalanche | 71c | 772.06$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.9 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Avalanche | 71c | 750$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Avalanche | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Avalanche | 70c | 724.34$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.3 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Senators | 8c | 710.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Avalanche | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Senators | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…3779backed Avalanche | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Avalanche | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Senators | 8c | 664.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…12b1backed Avalanche | 71c | 627.34$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Avalanche | 79c | 601$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.21 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Senators | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…f6c3backed Senators | 30c | 578.93$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.68 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7411…a2adbacked Senators | 30c | 556.67$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Avalanche | 70c | 556.66$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.14 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Avalanche | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ede…17cbbacked Senators | 29c | 551.72$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x303a…8949backed Senators | 29c | 544.96$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9863…2e6bbacked Avalanche | 71c | 542.04$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.19 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Avalanche | 72c | 524$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.72 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Avalanche | 72c | 517.15$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Avalanche | 71c | 511$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.19 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Senators | 29c | 504.17$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.91 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…dcc0backed Avalanche | 70c | 501$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Senators | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…2516backed Avalanche | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Avalanche | 70c | 467.01$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.1 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Avalanche | 70c | 459.51$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.36 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…6618backed Avalanche | 71c | 443.27$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Senators | 30c | 416.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Senators | 29c | 390.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.69 | 535 | 46.4%248 W · 287 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d2…0ab4backed Avalanche | 71c | 365.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Senators | 30c | 353$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2d…72febacked Avalanche | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…e2a1backed Senators | 29c | 351.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…2f1ebacked Avalanche | 71c | 345.46$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked Senators | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e42…8f95backed Senators | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Senators | 29c | 328.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Avalanchethis page
- Senators vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.