TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Imperialof Imperial, M80
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,149,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,182,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,149,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 556 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e4…c991backed Imperial45c109,745$48,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,893.197363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe74a…40eebacked M8056c89,159$49,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,994.982653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked M8076c78,785$60,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,105.3922468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Imperial44c60,141$26,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,478.949861.2%60 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Imperial44c59,295$26,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,248.8521051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Imperial46c53,768$24,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,811.0883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked M8055c50,000$27,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,499.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Imperial45c32,300$14,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,765.1413633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed M8053c28,364$14,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,990.564,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed M8046c23,900$10,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,9196741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Imperial43c23,862$10,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,562.2911758.1%68 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Imperial42c23,251$9,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,384.589942.4%42 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Imperial16c21,163$3,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,725.016432.8%21 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Imperial25c18,549$4,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,980.8381843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed M8049c16,050$7,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,806.131,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked M8049c15,813$7,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,698.4944657.2%255 W · 191 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Imperial39c15,555$6,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,488.5588242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Imperial44c13,636$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,636.3660853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b5c…99e1backed M8060c13,067$7,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,901.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5142…0688backed Imperial73c13,000$9,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,512.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed M8064c12,500$7,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,97557647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Imperial58c12,474$7,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,187.584862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed M8056c12,422$6,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,914.2910252%53 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Imperial47c12,012$5,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,386.236160.7%37 W · 24 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Imperial26c12,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,879.984858.3%28 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6be6…2006backed M8060c10,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0002965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed M8056c10,000$5,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,56072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Imperial47c8,712$4,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,603.791,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed M8056c8,070$4,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,542.249050%45 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked M8051c8,011$4,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,084.441,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed M8060c7,953$4,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,801.073557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed M8056c7,892$4,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,415.523237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked M8056c7,520$4,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,19117148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Imperial35c7,223$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,694.9511655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed M8077c6,511$5,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,013.9819660.7%119 W · 77 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed Imperial41c6,453$2,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,794.61266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed M8057c6,313$3,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,597.7228453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked M8057c6,263$3,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,581.4911353.1%60 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Imperial36c6,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8401,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed M8055c6,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.9767041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed M8057c5,779$3,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,293.862075%15 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Imperial41c5,483$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,234.7833043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Imperial57c5,354$3,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,281.1664552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked M8043c5,245$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2691,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ba…4e57backed M8055c5,213$2,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,875.467349.3%36 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed M8057c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8506147.5%29 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked M8056c4,962$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,801.2519043.7%83 W · 107 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa05a…2c84backed M8059c4,871$2,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,87410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd1…8a0ebacked Imperial41c4,862$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Imperial44c4,495$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.049442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked M8057c4,421$2,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,521.066450%32 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked M8062c4,392$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.43,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Imperial41c4,244$1,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.0746345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Imperial45c3,975$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.3310442.3%44 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked M8056c3,944$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.2913646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed M8055c3,868$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.453834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d7c…981cbacked M8051c3,595$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.354334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Imperial58c3,591$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.585738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbba…f349backed M8029c3,481$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.432532%8 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Imperial50c3,357$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.6997952.4%513 W · 466 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5019…74cdbacked M8030c3,342$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011630.2%35 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed M8058c3,160$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.2625052.8%132 W · 118 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228a…1094backed M8055c3,093$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a7d…c8e5backed Imperial45c3,093$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.383100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked M8044c3,073$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.3332548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4297…ea39backed M8044c3,000$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e47…c088backed Imperial58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2601100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed M8058c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.988042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed M8057c2,974$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6954643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed M8056c2,964$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.459234.8%32 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked M8056c2,892$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.4324440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked M8037c2,849$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.9361228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Imperial50c2,700$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.346934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed M8077c2,690$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.853333.3%11 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed M8056c2,679$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Imperial42c2,619$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.0523952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x546a…36fdbacked M8056c2,536$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4204047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c8…a8a3backed Imperial19c2,465$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.121553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+51.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed M8056c2,359$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.6853746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed M8056c2,344$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.4246949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…d24bbacked M8056c2,321$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+54.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc483…8ac8backed Imperial48c2,300$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.43435.3%12 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-40.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Imperial44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.735756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Imperial43c2,200$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25321846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x928e…d701backed M8056c2,187$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.274852.1%25 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…321dbacked M8037c2,109$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.61933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Imperial43c2,041$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.2745848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3950…a421backed M8055c2,040$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d6…b2e0backed Imperial24c2,000$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.434562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Imperial35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30097230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Imperial44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1201,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed M8049c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.991936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked M8059c1,969$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.6411241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc925…0789backed Imperial45c1,950$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked M8051c1,844$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.251,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked M8057c1,809$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.221,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed M8056c1,755$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.3526344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Imperial45c1,750$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.58751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Imperial26c1,740$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.243933.3%13 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61b…3984backed Imperial42c1,700$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9868657%49 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.