TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Blue Jackets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Blackhawks, Blue Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$626,168
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$620,050

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $626,168 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 408 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Blackhawks43c257,030$110,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110,452.719848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Blue Jackets57c100,000$57,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,00038748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blackhawks42c79,563$33,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,331.781,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Blackhawks43c68,486$29,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,448.9736748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Blue Jackets57c61,415$35,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,240.4848549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Blue Jackets57c56,000$31,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,08026849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Blue Jackets57c44,884$25,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,300.0356152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jackets57c35,504$20,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,114.451,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Blue Jackets57c30,466$17,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,045.764242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Blue Jackets57c20,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,6003743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Blue Jackets58c16,000$9,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,72022443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Blue Jackets57c14,818$8,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,371.841250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Blackhawks43c14,799$6,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,315.571040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Blackhawks42c11,930$5,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,010.4567051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Blue Jackets58c10,463$6,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,439.451,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Blue Jackets57c9,439$5,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,044.4661748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blackhawks41c8,429$3,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,455.041,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Blackhawks43c7,496$3,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,198.9861950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46b8…9fe5backed Blue Jackets58c6,703$3,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,815.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Blue Jackets59c6,692$3,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,768.750049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blackhawks43c6,500$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.951,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Blue Jackets58c6,352$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.282,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blackhawks41c5,999$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.781,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jackets58c5,154$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.591,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Blue Jackets59c5,128$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.5718258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blackhawks43c5,053$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.781,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Blue Jackets57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15054047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Blackhawks2c5,000$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10518132%58 W · 123 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Blackhawks42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9915145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Blue Jackets57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.9727548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Blue Jackets58c4,801$2,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.411662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Blackhawks42c4,500$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8907347.9%35 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Blue Jackets58c4,279$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.3941850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Blue Jackets57c4,128$2,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.271,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blackhawks0c4,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Blue Jackets57c3,886$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.9830551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Blue Jackets58c3,846$2,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.3228251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Blue Jackets58c3,830$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.612047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Blue Jackets79c3,685$2,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.8185464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Blackhawks42c3,600$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51234845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb2f…936abacked Blue Jackets59c3,419$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.718664%55 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Blue Jackets57c3,333$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.8614142.6%60 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Blue Jackets61c2,894$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.848050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Blue Jackets57c2,813$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.5152050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3018…b778backed Blackhawks42c2,514$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Blue Jackets58c2,410$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.233950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Blue Jackets58c2,410$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.326656.1%37 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Blue Jackets58c2,400$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jackets63c2,390$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.781,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62b…625dbacked Blue Jackets58c2,242$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.651471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x819c…1472backed Blackhawks42c2,132$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc824…59abbacked Blackhawks42c2,057$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Blue Jackets58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84021048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Blue Jackets58c1,851$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.4284953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Blackhawks11c1,756$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.6339344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Blackhawks16c1,742$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.681,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blackhawks13c1,738$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.3568449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Blue Jackets58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1414654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Blackhawks43c1,627$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.585250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blackhawks42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Blackhawks41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6154841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blackhawks42c1,417$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5951,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blackhawks7c1,389$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6589636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Blue Jackets57c1,365$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.6145955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed Blackhawks42c1,220$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.54339.5%17 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-30.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Blackhawks21c1,170$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.861,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Blue Jackets57c1,162$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.6642847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x943e…9f08backed Blue Jackets57c1,151$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.88862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Blue Jackets57c1,055$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.716960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Blue Jackets58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.4810367%69 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Blue Jackets57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Blackhawks42c999.96$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.9391653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Blackhawks39c991.6$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.0332650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Blackhawks1c976.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Blackhawks42c901.26$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.029440.4%38 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Blue Jackets57c887.86$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.7863249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c00…ed33backed Blue Jackets59c840$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd325…d6d1backed Blackhawks42c830$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb6…6d93backed Blackhawks42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Blackhawks28c797.84$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.692,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae7c…6797backed Blue Jackets59c790$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd980…4645backed Blackhawks43c739.53$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3182147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Blue Jackets57c737$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.9183149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Blackhawks42c720$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.444551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…44bcbacked Blackhawks2c681.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.385427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Blue Jackets58c675$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.510938.5%42 W · 67 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Blue Jackets58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25291945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Blackhawks17c599.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020448.5%99 W · 105 L+12.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Blackhawks43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69d9…9881backed Blue Jackets58c570$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.430657.8%177 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Blue Jackets57c561.4$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.43174.2%23 W · 8 L+5.9wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+32.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Blackhawks42c560.69$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.4914140.4%57 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Blue Jackets57c560$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.811855.9%66 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Blue Jackets58c536$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.4645751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eac…01c1backed Blackhawks43c527.91$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca9d…bcd2backed Blue Jackets58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Blue Jackets59c510$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.122352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Blackhawks43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Blue Jackets57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Blue Jackets58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21032451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.