NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b5f5ae82c0b92bb87e122cc5f2f1c6024491b4831bad7fe9d17435ded5d004a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 57c | 21,926$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,426.37 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 43c | 15,078$6,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,483.36 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 41c | 5,438$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.09 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 43c | 4,067$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 46c | 2,745$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.9 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 57c | 2,409$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.63 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 47c | 1,664$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.19 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 52c | 755.58$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.68 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 41c | 674.48$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.54 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Under | 54c | 664$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.44 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 57c | 530.11$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.15 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 54c | 461.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 48c | 417$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 59c | 405$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.05 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 54c | 360.67$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.91 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 68c | 313.97$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 32c | 269.43$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 43c | 255.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 54c | 251$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.46 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…cb76backed Under | 53c | 222.64$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfffc…bc9ebacked Under | 53c | 182.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Over | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 45c | 169.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…bc0cbacked Over | 48c | 168.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…738ebacked Over | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…cf90backed Under | 53c | 152.77$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 33c | 136.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 43c | 123.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 41c | 119.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 54c | 93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 53c | 90.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Over | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 59c | 78.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Under | 54c | 73.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…1846backed Over | 44c | 68.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Over | 48c | 65.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 42.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Over | 49c | 40.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed Under | 61c | 35.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 43c | 33.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 43c | 32.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Over | 46c | 32.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…e03bbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 48c | 28.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 54c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 41c | 25.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d7e9backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Under | 53c | 23.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 57c | 21.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 53c | 21.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 59c | 19.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 53c | 19.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 263 | 57.8%152 W · 111 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. Blue JacketsBlue Jackets won
- Blackhawks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.