NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2ffecf8c8ffd27bb764b02336442eac9a6f52de9d33579c3ba2dd2280a031af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 56c | 13,573$7,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600.72 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 44c | 12,681$5,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,091.21 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 48c | 8,686$4,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,516.62 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 4,114$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.77 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 4,078$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.51 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 2,252$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.51 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 2,027$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.11 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 1,801$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.17 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Under | 47c | 1,483$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 1,169$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.57 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 999.94$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.97 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 201.47$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.95 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 54c | 185.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x706a…f5c0backed Under | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 37c | 155.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 53c | 151.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 54c | 143.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…8e5cbacked Over | 54c | 135.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 45c | 132$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Over | 55c | 131.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 56c | 126.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 44c | 103.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe616…ef15backed Under | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 45c | 97.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 53c | 88.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Under | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e55…b5a3backed Under | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 55.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 47c | 47.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 48c | 35.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 48c | 30.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f491backed Over | 73c | 28.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 54c | 27.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 65c | 27.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…71c2backed Over | 55c | 20.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. Blue JacketsBlue Jackets won
- Blackhawks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.