NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c5746214370a05764ddd634750b3bd900e801f9c50a0d81dcb3039f76b6b611
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Blackhawks | 65c | 18,648$12,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,121.2 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jackets | 35c | 12,500$4,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,125 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Blue Jackets | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Blackhawks | 65c | 4,170$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.5 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 2,596$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.52 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 1,961$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.6 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 1,090$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.53 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 836.1$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.47 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Blackhawks | 65c | 818$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.7 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blackhawks | 63c | 554.04$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.05 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Blackhawks | 63c | 384.13$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Blue Jackets | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 230$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blackhawks | 64c | 222.44$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.36 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Blackhawks | 65c | 222$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 180$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Blackhawks | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 139$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 124.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Blackhawks | 66c | 114.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Blackhawks | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked Blackhawks | 56c | 71.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Blackhawks | 65c | 65.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 47.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Blackhawks | 63c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jackets | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…b0d3backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Blackhawks | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Blackhawks | 65c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Blackhawks | 64c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Blackhawks | 64c | 37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Blackhawks | 65c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Blackhawks | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Blackhawks | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Blackhawks | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Blackhawks | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Blackhawks | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Blackhawks | 64c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Blackhawks | 65c | 24.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Blackhawks | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Blackhawks | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jackets | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blue Jackets | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)this page
- Blackhawks vs. Blue JacketsBlue Jackets won
- Blackhawks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.