CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: japczany vs 777 (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83fc2f6b29357e6c9f773d6a1266c5a34abf7e5a8a6c0af39c090899aed871de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- japczanyof japczany, 777
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44d0…0619backed japczany | 74c | 1,230$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 777 | 26c | 1,203$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.45 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 777 | 3c | 1,095$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed 777 | 5c | 999.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed 777 | 36c | 526.15$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.34 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed japczany | 50c | 500.26$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.84 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed 777 | 27c | 490$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked 777 | 47c | 212.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked japczany | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed 777 | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c7…0577backed 777 | 32c | 165$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…dcc0backed japczany | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…72f5backed japczany | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc643…1a02backed 777 | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed japczany | 52c | 149.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed 777 | 27c | 135$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f55…131cbacked japczany | 58c | 112.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +115%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3f…ca5abacked japczany | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da9…e82dbacked 777 | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…b5e4backed japczany | 52c | 75.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked 777 | 17c | 71.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed 777 | 45c | 57.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked japczany | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed 777 | 50c | 38.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed japczany | 56c | 36.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b2…dd6dbacked japczany | 63c | 31.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed 777 | 42c | 26.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…290ebacked japczany | 55c | 20.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: japczany vs 777 (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: japczany vs 777 - Map 1 Winnerjapczany won
- Counter-Strike: japczany vs 777 - Map 2 Winner777 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.