NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x212956c5fb5e8b3de589f108d8311d600416382cb2cfbf9cd1c5abbe91940fd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Devils, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $233,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Devils | 39c | 43,285$17,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,064.34 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Senators | 61c | 42,086$25,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,470.58 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Devils | 39c | 25,457$9,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,928.15 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Devils | 41c | 18,000$7,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,420 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Senators | 59c | 14,160$8,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,805.44 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Senators | 60c | 12,500$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 59c | 8,514$5,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.45 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Devils | 41c | 7,837$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214.98 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Senators | 58c | 7,136$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.14 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Devils | 41c | 6,500$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 73c | 6,024$4,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.92 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Senators | 60c | 5,417$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Devils | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Senators | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Devils | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Senators | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Devils | 39c | 3,745$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.64 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Senators | 61c | 3,300$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators | 57c | 3,217$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.18 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Devils | 5c | 3,179$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.02 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Devils | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Senators | 60c | 2,842$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.64 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Devils | 38c | 2,666$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.99 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Senators | 77c | 2,613$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.53 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Devils | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Devils | 39c | 2,400$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Devils | 39c | 2,179$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.98 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Senators | 57c | 2,051$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.74 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Senators | 57c | 2,048$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.71 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Senators | 62c | 2,017$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.45 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Senators | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Devils | 39c | 2,000$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.99 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Devils | 39c | 1,998$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.03 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 77c | 1,931$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.3 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d8…dc4abacked Devils | 40c | 1,764$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Senators | 60c | 1,700$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Senators | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Devils | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Devils | 41c | 1,500$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Devils | 25c | 1,470$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.72 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Senators | 62c | 1,316$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Devils | 24c | 1,242$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Devils | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Devils | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Devils | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Devils | 34c | 1,014$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.66 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Devils | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Senators | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Senators | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…865fbacked Senators | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Devils | 36c | 969$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.96 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Devils | 37c | 927.07$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.41 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Senators | 59c | 900$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Devils | 39c | 869.65$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.16 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…dcc0backed Devils | 40c | 847.36$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.27 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Devils | 42c | 846$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.32 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Senators | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Senators | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Devils | 16c | 778$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.23 | 227 | 28.2%64 W · 163 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Senators | 60c | 769.08$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.63 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Devils | 40c | 754.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 199 | 64.3%128 W · 71 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 59c | 750$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Devils | 39c | 718.35$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.13 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Devils | 40c | 715$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Senators | 60c | 699.92$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Devils | 18c | 678.34$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ca…5d8dbacked Devils | 42c | 635.71$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Senators | 59c | 620.34$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.34 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Senators | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Devils | 40c | 540$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +16.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Devils | 31c | 538.5$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.08 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Senators | 61c | 533.48$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Senators | 63c | 525.79$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.72 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Senators | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Devils | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78eb…7f35backed Devils | 39c | 460.08$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Devils | 39c | 454.15$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.12 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Devils | 39c | 449.41$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.71 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba98…382cbacked Devils | 39c | 440.66$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb2…36aabacked Devils | 39c | 440.56$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e13…17d6backed Devils | 41c | 440.1$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…722dbacked Devils | 39c | 435.26$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…2fdebacked Devils | 41c | 427.32$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9504…7f18backed Devils | 41c | 418.1$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0631…0ec9backed Devils | 39c | 413.27$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Senators | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Devils | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9af…cc49backed Devils | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Devils | 42c | 394$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.48 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…ae44backed Devils | 41c | 393.5$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a8…68ebbacked Devils | 40c | 382.13$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.85 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…2b73backed Devils | 41c | 381.18$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Devils | 41c | 368$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…c221backed Senators | 59c | 362.71$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.71 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Devils | 40c | 356$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.25 | 153 | 60.8%93 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Devils | 26c | 350$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Senators | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…36b0backed Devils | 33c | 350$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -7.0wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Devils | 39c | 342.83$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Senatorsthis page
- Devils vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Devils vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.