Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfe117329f72a77416d90ab4c32efc214618e2ed7525b041f401d499f2b9d92d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e4a…0b5cbacked Under | 0c | 52,380$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…2c81backed Over | 46c | 3,941$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.03 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…762fbacked Over | 49c | 3,053$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730f…952cbacked Over | 64c | 2,889$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59e1…d3bbbacked Under | 36c | 2,889$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 53c | 2,086$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.15 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed Under | 54c | 2,076$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.04 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Under | 54c | 1,865$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 1,445$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.18 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 47c | 1,336$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.16 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 54c | 1,093$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.52 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Over | 47c | 548.68$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.18 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 47c | 499.37$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.74 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 54c | 461.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.47 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 53c | 403.26$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.73 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 51c | 391.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.94 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 54c | 366.97$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.16 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Over | 47c | 319.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.36 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 46c | 266.03$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.28 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37e…2da4backed Over | 71c | 245.33$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Over | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a9…2c34backed Over | 79c | 185.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…02bbbacked Over | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 38c | 169.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Over | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…2475backed Over | 47c | 128.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…d531backed Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 53c | 99.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…2d58backed Over | 46c | 91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Over | 66c | 90.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa73…c2c4backed Over | 46c | 75.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 41c | 75.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed Over | 61c | 72.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…1a19backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 380 | 34.7%132 W · 248 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20d…b58bbacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Over | 46c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…045cbacked Over | 64c | 55.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 262 | 34.4%90 W · 172 L | -21.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Under | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -10.4wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 52c | 45.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 39c | 44.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2245…1efabacked Over | 46c | 43.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…99eabacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…7340backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe628…0024backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Under | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…1b96backed Over | 46c | 30.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…010bbacked Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 70c | 23.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 364 | 67.3%245 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Over | 49c | 22.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 212 | 33%70 W · 142 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…b590backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 80c | 19.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…328cbacked Under | 57c | 17.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 68c | 15.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)Weibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.