TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Weibo Gamingof Anyone's Legend, Weibo Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,442
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,442 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeffd…5a86backed Weibo Gaming55c2,000$1,100 inWon+$90044047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4592…49b6backed Weibo Gaming59c1,706$1,007 inWon+$699.481546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…3eefbacked Anyone's Legend41c1,706$699 inLost-$699.461855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Anyone's Legend41c1,373$563 inLost-$562.991,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Weibo Gaming59c397.43$234 inWon+$163.2813136.6%48 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Weibo Gaming53c283.88$150 inWon+$133.4278050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Anyone's Legend47c212.77$100 inLost-$1001,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Anyone's Legend44c140$61 inLost-$61.217039.4%67 W · 103 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Weibo Gaming59c137.32$81 inWon+$56.330255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Anyone's Legend42c127.34$53 inLost-$53.091,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Weibo Gaming60c115.09$69 inWon+$46.0919559.5%116 W · 79 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Weibo Gaming57c110$63 inWon+$47.31,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Weibo Gaming57c105.39$60 inWon+$45.3250848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x640b…ec00backed Anyone's Legend48c104.58$50 inLost-$503754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Weibo Gaming56c100$56 inWon+$4423439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Anyone's Legend40c100$40 inLost-$4053954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb24f…c638backed Anyone's Legend43c93.96$40 inLost-$4020051.5%103 W · 97 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae6e…b24fbacked Weibo Gaming62c78.68$48 inWon+$30.22060%12 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Anyone's Legend41c69.46$28 inLost-$28.4814038.6%54 W · 86 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Weibo Gaming57c60$34 inWon+$25.854054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Weibo Gaming59c56.95$34 inWon+$23.3512242.6%52 W · 70 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf012…1a19backed Weibo Gaming58c51.51$30 inWon+$21.5138034.7%132 W · 248 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Anyone's Legend41c49.46$20 inLost-$20.4133552.8%177 W · 158 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Anyone's Legend38c48.68$18 inLost-$18.51,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d92…2e20backed Anyone's Legend43c46.51$20 inLost-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Weibo Gaming59c42.37$25 inWon+$17.3711267.9%76 W · 36 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Weibo Gaming57c40$23 inWon+$17.29267.4%62 W · 30 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Weibo Gaming59c37.29$22 inWon+$15.2912157.9%70 W · 51 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked Weibo Gaming56c36.92$21 inWon+$16.247154.9%39 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc770…a8e9backed Weibo Gaming58c34.41$20 inWon+$14.411060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d47…0592backed Anyone's Legend44c34.09$15 inLost-$152646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c20…6fd4backed Weibo Gaming57c34$19 inWon+$14.628444%37 W · 47 L-12.8wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-30.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa632…1a3cbacked Anyone's Legend44c27.9$12 inLost-$12.1740%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa596…ce69backed Weibo Gaming59c27.66$16 inWon+$11.348156.8%46 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.