TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe628…0024

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT12369.9%86 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.69
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.4
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$9.36
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$22.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.38
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.26
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$112.94
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$10.16
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.32
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.92
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$11.39
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$15.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.8
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick66cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Fulham FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.27
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.81
Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.27
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.3%+$15.5
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$153.38
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)backed West Ham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.94
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.