Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d3805e69f2cb569039433b60ad32c066266f3a9faaed3a778b43642417ea87b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HANJIN BRIONof BNK FEARX, HANJIN BRION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HANJIN BRION | 70c | 8,691$6,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.29 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 5,618$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.4 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 4,380$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked HANJIN BRION | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.8 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…ac8ebacked BNK FEARX | 30c | 2,767$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca7…5e0abacked BNK FEARX | 30c | 2,659$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.67 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…2a9dbacked BNK FEARX | 29c | 2,575$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.65 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed HANJIN BRION | 71c | 1,983$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.07 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed HANJIN BRION | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BNK FEARX | 27c | 1,060$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.05 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed HANJIN BRION | 70c | 927.66$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.3 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…3989backed HANJIN BRION | 71c | 818.67$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.41 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed HANJIN BRION | 65c | 805.94$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.56 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked HANJIN BRION | 74c | 785.3$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.77 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed HANJIN BRION | 72c | 485.67$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.67 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed BNK FEARX | 25c | 470$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed BNK FEARX | 36c | 413.91$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.53 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1f…c18fbacked BNK FEARX | 29c | 396.25$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.91 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed HANJIN BRION | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked HANJIN BRION | 71c | 277.77$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked HANJIN BRION | 65c | 260.59$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 240.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed BNK FEARX | 16c | 170.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed BNK FEARX | 29c | 134.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed HANJIN BRION | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…34cabacked HANJIN BRION | 71c | 109.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 156 | 73.1%114 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed BNK FEARX | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked BNK FEARX | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked BNK FEARX | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed HANJIN BRION | 71c | 78.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked BNK FEARX | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed BNK FEARX | 40c | 53.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x72d9…df51backed HANJIN BRION | 57c | 34.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed HANJIN BRION | 71c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9979…c5bdbacked HANJIN BRION | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed BNK FEARX | 76c | 20.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…a74cbacked HANJIN BRION | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed HANJIN BRION | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe628…0024backed HANJIN BRION | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupBNK FEARX won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.