Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8053c802b30dbf82482b26e1a5995c53642cc95ea9e563015107a48c953cfd42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,283 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 9,812$5,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131.47 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 54c | 2,894$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 2c | 2,265$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Over | 79c | 1,681$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.99 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Over | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Over | 79c | 1,237$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.37 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 32c | 999.47$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.83 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Under | 21c | 644.19$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.17 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 607.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 570.97$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.62 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Over | 52c | 450.9$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 42c | 371.95$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 361.66$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.4 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2596…fd5abacked Under | 47c | 318.11$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 4c | 316.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 17c | 314.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.07 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41d4…a401backed Over | 22c | 203.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 26c | 199.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…e0cbbacked Over | 14c | 192.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 154.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 66c | 124.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 31c | 121.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…7eeabacked Under | 80c | 97.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5654…3fa2backed Over | 40c | 79.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 21c | 75.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c9…1798backed Over | 48c | 75.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 39c | 74.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 40c | 74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Under | 21c | 71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 17c | 66.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 48c | 64.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 37c | 53.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 79c | 51.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Over | 43c | 45.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…7eb2backed Over | 75c | 37.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -4.1wins | -0.51per pick | 64cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 53c | 28.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Over | 68c | 28.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 76cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 62c | 19.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 62c | 19.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -8.4wins | -0.19per pick | 72cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed Over | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe628…0024backed Under | 77c | 18.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.