Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cbcd883f220d52bfd80347b6341fee1555a659893325736bdf3a7fa558a1316
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,409 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 36c | 16,558$5,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,960.05 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 9,837$6,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.75 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 63c | 5,190$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.21 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 63c | 4,184$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.07 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 37c | 1,811$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 27c | 1,248$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.1 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 63c | 673.98$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.37 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 37c | 541$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 18c | 419$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 36c | 379.55$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.63 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 64c | 320.84$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 33c | 239.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 67c | 194.03$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 64c | 72.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 64c | 72.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 65c | 65.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 37c | 64.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 64c | 63.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 34c | 55.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 38c | 53.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 51.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 33c | 33.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 36c | 31.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 33c | 30.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Over | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…1ab8backed Under | 64c | 27.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 66c | 25.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 64c | 19.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.