Premier League · resolved market
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e9c36f6d88d400d0a856f8bfa8bb68844c5e672d72d073da735cadfcc859b8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Burnley FCof AFC Bournemouth, Burnley FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,503 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Burnley FC | 70c | 44,683$31,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,187.03 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AFC Bournemouth | 29c | 18,275$5,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,357.66 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked AFC Bournemouth | 30c | 13,941$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182.3 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 29c | 5,647$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.79 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed AFC Bournemouth | 29c | 3,572$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.88 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 29c | 1,109$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.23 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed AFC Bournemouth | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Burnley FC | 71c | 599.98$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.99 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Burnley FC | 70c | 554.51$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.35 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked AFC Bournemouth | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…239cbacked AFC Bournemouth | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Burnley FC | 71c | 215$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed AFC Bournemouth | 29c | 182.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked AFC Bournemouth | 29c | 179.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked AFC Bournemouth | 30c | 159.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked AFC Bournemouth | 30c | 122.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed AFC Bournemouth | 23c | 110.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed AFC Bournemouth | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed AFC Bournemouth | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed AFC Bournemouth | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 30c | 90.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked AFC Bournemouth | 30c | 72.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Burnley FC | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed AFC Bournemouth | 29c | 69.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5985…a8cabacked AFC Bournemouth | 30c | 67.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Burnley FC | 70c | 63.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked AFC Bournemouth | 29c | 56.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed AFC Bournemouth | 29c | 49.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed AFC Bournemouth | 29c | 47.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Burnley FC | 69c | 38.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 29c | 36.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…b015backed Burnley FC | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +4.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Burnley FC | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Burnley FC | 69c | 32.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Burnley FC | 73c | 30.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Burnley FC | 71c | 25.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked Burnley FC | 71c | 24.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -6.5wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…6006backed Burnley FC | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…ff08backed Burnley FC | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)this page
- Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.